FNUS75 KVEF 022243
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAN PEAK...COLO RIVER DIST BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
343 PM PDT TUE JUL 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1525 PDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN SUPPRESSED SO FAR TODAY OVER
CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY HOWEVER...ARE FIRING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WITH NORTHEAST WINDS ALOFT WILL STEER CLOUDS/STORMS OVER THE BURN
SITE DURING THE EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE EVENING WILL
BE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND LIGHTNING WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT.

CURRENTLY DO NOT SEE ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HEADING TOWARDS THE BURN
SITE.

FOR WEDNESDAY LITTLE CHANGE AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WHILE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM STORMS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST OF THE SITE MAY IMPACT THE AREA.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING WITH POSSIBLE
                    LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....2 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 DECREASING TO 1 BY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION.........BECOMING FAIR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 KNOTS IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JENSEN
REQUESTED BY...DAN MINDAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130702.DEANP.02/VEF