FNUS75 KBOU 032027 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 227 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0556 MDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE OUT OF WYOMING HAS PRODUCED MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE NORTH TO SOUTH AT ABOUT 30 MPH. BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGER STORMS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO DIE DOWN AROUND SUNSET AND BE DIMINISHED BY 2200. MORE MOISTURE WILL RIDE OVER THE GREAT BASIN RIDGE AND INTO COLORADO TOMORROW FOR INCREASED SKY COVER TONIGHT KEEPING MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WARMER. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL ALSO INCREASE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW. FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE THE UPPER RIDGE MOVING SOUTHEAST TO BRING NORTHWEST TO WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73 NEAR 9500 FT...AROUND 64 NEAR 12000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........21-25%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45 NEAR 12000...AROUND 34 NEAR 9500. MAX HUMIDITY........63-67%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73 NEAR 9500 FT.....AROUND 62 NEAR 12000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........22-25%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/03-14 52 34 4 75 21 N 13 21 5 3 N 33 12784 N 22241622 E 07/03-15 52 34 4 75 21 NNE 13 21 5 3 N 31 12956 N 22246462 E 07/03-16 52 34 4 73 23 NNE 12 18 5 3 N 29 12201 N 21216640 E 07/03-17 52 34 4 71 25 NNE 10 16 5 3 N 28 11447 N 18186817 E 07/03-18 54 10 2 70 25 NNE 8 13 5 2 NNW 26 10693 N 17156995 E 07/03-19 54 10 2 65 31 NNE 6 6 5 2 N 30 7295 N 14105623 V 07/03-20 54 10 2 61 36 NNE 5 5 5 2 N 32 3896 NNE 10 54251 F 07/03-21 54 10 2 56 43 NNE 3 3 4 1 N 36 497 NNE 7 2879 P 07/03-22 54 10 2 53 48 NNE 3 3 4 1 N 35 508 NNE 6 2658 P 07/03-23 54 10 2 51 52 N 3 3 4 1 N 35 519 N 6 2438 P 07/04-00 36 0 0 49 56 NNW 3 3 4 1 N 35 530 N 5 2218 P 07/04-01 36 0 0 47 60 NNW 3 3 4 1 N 35 443 N 6 1976 P 07/04-02 36 0 0 45 65 NNW 3 3 4 1 N 33 356 NNW 6 1734 P 07/04-03 36 0 0 44 68 NW 3 3 3 1 N 33 268 NNW 7 1492 P 07/04-04 36 0 0 43 71 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 32 277 NNW 7 1603 P 07/04-05 36 0 0 43 72 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 32 285 N 7 1715 P 07/04-06 51 0 0 42 76 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 32 293 N 7 1826 P 07/04-07 51 0 0 45 69 NNW 5 5 3 1 N 32 2723 N 9 28598 P 07/04-08 51 0 0 53 52 N 5 5 3 1 N 32 5153 N 10 55370 F 07/04-09 66 9 2 60 41 NNE 6 6 3 1 N 33 7583 N 13 82142 G 07/04-10 66 9 2 68 31 NNE 6 6 4 1 N 32 7831 NNE 10 68599 G 07/04-11 66 9 2 73 26 NE 6 6 4 1 N 30 8078 NNE 8 55056 F 07/04-12 75 21 4 74 25 NE 5 5 4 3 N 29 8326 NNE 6 41512 F 07/04-13 75 21 4 74 25 NE 3 3 4 3 N 28 8038 N 5 32327 P 07/04-14 75 21 4 74 26 ENE 2 2 4 3 N 26 7750 NNW 3 23141 P 07/04-15 75 27 7 73 27 E 2 2 4 4 N 25 7462 NNW 2 13956 P 07/04-16 75 27 7 73 27 E 3 3 4 4 N 23 7413 N 2 12969 P 07/04-17 75 27 7 73 27 ENE 3 3 4 4 N 20 7365 ENE 2 11982 P 07/04-18 73 28 8 68 32 ENE 5 5 3 4 NNW 16 8429 CALM 10115 P 07/04-19 73 28 8 64 37 E 5 5 3 4 NNW 15 6243 NE 2 8833 P 07/04-20 73 28 8 61 41 ESE 3 3 3 4 NNW 13 4058 SE 3 7551 P 07/04-21 73 28 8 57 47 ESE 3 3 3 4 NNW 10 1873 S 3 6269 P 07/04-22 73 28 8 55 51 SE 3 3 3 4 NNW 12 1395 S 5 4958 P 07/04-23 73 28 8 53 54 S 3 3 3 4 NNW 12 918 S 6 3646 P 07/05-00 52 4 1 53 54 S 3 3 3 1 NNW 13 441 S 6 2335 P 07/05-01 52 4 1 52 56 SSW 3 3 3 1 NW 13 427 SSW 6 2134 P 07/05-02 52 4 1 52 56 WSW 3 3 3 1 NW 13 412 SW 6 1933 P 07/05-03 52 4 1 51 59 W 3 3 3 1 NW 13 398 WSW 5 1732 P 07/05-04 52 4 1 49 63 W 3 3 3 1 NW 13 463 WSW 6 2129 P 07/05-05 52 4 1 48 65 W 5 5 3 1 WNW 12 528 W 6 2525 P 07/05-06 52 4 1 49 63 WSW 5 5 3 1 WNW 12 593 W 6 2922 P 07/05-07 52 4 1 54 53 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 14 2243 W 6 11980 P 07/05-08 52 4 1 61 42 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 15 3893 WNW 6 21038 P 07/05-09 52 4 1 68 33 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 16 5543 WNW 6 30096 P 07/05-10 52 4 1 72 29 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 16 6279 WNW 7 35067 P 07/05-11 52 4 1 74 28 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 16 7014 W 7 40038 F 07/05-12 73 24 5 75 27 W 7 7 3 3 WNW 16 7750 W 7 45009 F 07/05-13 73 24 5 75 29 W 8 8 3 3 WNW 16 7465 W 9 57919 F 07/05-14 73 24 5 75 30 W 8 8 2 3 WNW 16 7180 W 12 70829 G 07/05-15 73 24 5 74 33 W 9 9 2 3 WNW 17 6895 W 14 83739 G 07/05-16 73 24 5 72 36 W 9 9 2 3 WNW 16 6278 W 13 72815 G 07/05-17 73 24 5 71 39 W 8 8 2 3 WNW 15 5661 W 13 61890 G 07/05-18 65 27 7 68 44 W 8 8 2 4 WNW 15 5044 W 12 50966 F 07/05-19 65 27 7 65 49 W 8 8 4 07/05-20 65 27 7 62 54 W 7 7 4 07/05-21 65 27 7 59 60 W 7 7 4 07/05-22 65 27 7 57 64 W 7 7 4 07/05-23 65 27 7 55 67 W 6 6 4 07/06-00 54 5 1 54 69 W 6 6 1 07/06-01 54 5 1 54 68 W 6 6 1 07/06-02 54 5 1 53 69 W 6 6 1 07/06-03 54 5 1 53 69 W 7 7 1 07/06-04 54 5 1 51 73 W 7 7 1 07/06-05 54 5 1 50 75 W 8 8 1 07/06-06 55 15 3 51 71 W 8 8 3 07/06-07 55 15 3 55 61 W 8 8 3 07/06-08 55 15 3 61 48 W 8 8 3 07/06-09 55 15 3 66 40 W 7 7 3 07/06-10 55 15 3 70 35 W 7 7 3 07/06-11 55 15 3 72 32 W 6 6 3 07/06-12 76 37 15 74 30 W 6 6 4 07/06-13 76 37 15 74 31 W 5 5 4 07/06-14 76 37 15 74 32 W 5 5 4 07/06-15 76 37 15 74 33 W 3 3 4 07/06-16 76 37 15 73 35 WSW 3 3 4 07/06-17 76 37 15 71 39 WSW 2 2 4 07/06-18 76 37 15 69 42 WSW 2 2 4 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130703.BIGME.01/BOU