FNUS75 KFGZ 040139
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAKE...KNF KAIBAB NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
639 PM MST WED JUL 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1756 MST ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER NEVADA WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT ACROSS ARIZONA THURSDAY...THEN INTO NEW MEXICO BY
THE WEEKEND. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE FIRE SITE FOR
A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...OUTSIDE OF SHOWER
ACTIVITY...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES OR HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 55 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE AND GUSTY IN THE EVENING DUE TO
                    SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE VICINITY. WIND
                    SPEED GENERALLY 5 TO 8 MPH BUT GUSTS 20
                    TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE WITH SHOWERS. VARIABLE WIND
                    UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......8.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND NEAR ANY
                    SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (116100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1161.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNDROW
REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130703.JAKE_.01/FGZ