FNUS75 KGJT 040108
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
708 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1804 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT AND DRY...THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL CHANGE THROUGH THESE PERIODS. THE UPPER HIGH DROPS
FROM NEVADA INTO ARIZONA ON THURSDAY THEN DRIFTS EAST TOWARDS THE
NEW MEXICO BORDER. CLOCKWISE MOTION AROUND THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW
MOISTURE TO INCREASE OVER REGION INCLUDING THE FIRE SITE FROM THE
WEST AND SOUTHWEST. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE AND STORMS
WILL PRODUCE WETTING RAINS. STILL SOME LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR
OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN SHAFTS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH EACH
SHOWER OR STORM. RH VALUES WILL BE HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER.

.THURSDAY BEFORE SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. SMALL
                    HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 3-8 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ERRATIC GUSTS TO 40-50 MPH NEAR AFTERNOON
                    STORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON EXCEPT EXCELLENT NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH EXCEPT GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900-21900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY UNTIL SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED MORNING SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130703.BULLG.01/GJT