FNUS76 KMFR 041353
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY COMPLEX...MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
653 AM PDT THU JUL 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1823 PDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION... AN  UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST LATE TODAY AND TOMORROW AND PUSH MONSOON MOISTURE
SOUTHEASTWARD. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING. THEN, THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE BURN AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SHIFT EAST AND SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO
BACK TO THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING
TO NORTHWESTERLY IN THE EVENING. ALSO GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AND THEN WILL COOL
A FEW MORE DEGREES ON FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
WINDS OVER THE BURN AREA ON  FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE NORTHWEST
WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED TO
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...MARK MAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130703.VALLE.02/MFR