FNUS75 KABQ 041818
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAROSO...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1218 PM MDT THU JUL 4 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED TO EASTERN
ARIZONA WITH A CONTINUED NORTH TO SOUTH STEERING FLOW OVER THE BURN
AREA AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.  STEERING FLOW
LOOKS TO BE A LITTLE WEAKER TODAY THAN PREVIOUS DAYS...STILL SOME
MODERATE TO HEAVY DOWNPOURSAND STRONG OUTFLOWS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME HAIL AS WELL. A LITTLE WARMER BOTH TODAY
AND FRIDAY. GOOD TO POSSIBLY EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT.  UPPER
HIGH TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE EAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING OF THE STEERING FLOW AND A TRANSITION TO MORE
OF A NORTHWEST SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......INCREASING CLOUDS AND BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                       WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 22-27 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                       OR EAST 8 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/126459 KNOT-FT AT 1100 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/117552 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/44665 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46-50.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 74-79 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/52080 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       FAIR/56002 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       WEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/77886 KNOT-FT AT 1000 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/75114 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/59429 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...05

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC STEWART
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130704.JAROS.01/ABQ