FNUS75 KBOU 041230 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 624 AM MDT THU JUL 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0610 MDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PICTURE WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN AND RESULTING MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW OVER COLORADO. THE AIRMASS WILL AGAIN BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES FOR FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........74%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................4. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/04-06 36 0 0 42 76 NNW 3 3 3 1 N 28 530 N 8 3796 P 07/04-07 36 0 0 45 68 N 3 3 3 1 N 32 2723 N 9 28598 P 07/04-08 36 0 0 53 51 N 5 5 3 1 N 32 5153 N 10 55370 F 07/04-09 41 0 0 60 41 NNE 5 5 3 1 N 29 7268 N 13 81364 G 07/04-10 51 0 0 68 31 NNE 5 5 4 1 N 32 7831 NNE 10 68599 G 07/04-11 56 9 2 73 26 NE 3 3 4 1 N 30 8078 NNE 8 55056 F 07/04-12 79 24 5 74 25 ENE 3 3 3 3 N 24 10895 N 7 63470 G 07/04-13 79 24 5 74 25 ENE 3 3 4 3 N 28 8038 N 5 32327 P 07/04-14 79 24 5 74 26 ENE 2 2 4 3 N 26 7750 NNW 3 23141 P 07/04-15 85 27 7 73 27 ENE 2 2 3 4 NW 9 8859 CALM 12668 P 07/04-16 85 27 7 73 27 ENE 2 2 4 4 N 22 7413 N 2 12969 P 07/04-17 85 27 7 73 27 E 3 3 3 4 N 20 7365 E 2 11982 P 07/04-18 83 53 28 68 32 E 3 3 3 4 NNW 7 7967 SE 3 27228 P 07/04-19 83 53 28 64 37 ESE 3 3 3 4 N 14 6306 ESE 2 13392 P 07/04-20 83 53 28 61 41 SSE 3 3 3 4 N 12 5297 SSE 3 15789 P 07/04-21 78 33 12 58 45 SSE 3 3 2 4 NW 5 5819 S 9 48178 F 07/04-22 78 33 12 55 51 S 3 3 3 4 NNW 8 3047 SSE 5 13040 P 07/04-23 78 33 12 54 52 S 3 3 3 4 WNW 8 1807 SSE 6 7893 P 07/05-00 54 20 4 53 54 S 3 3 3 1 W 7 484 SSE 7 2913 P 07/05-01 54 20 4 52 56 S 3 3 3 1 W 9 524 S 6 2669 P 07/05-02 54 20 4 52 56 SW 2 2 3 1 W 12 482 SSW 6 2591 P 07/05-03 46 20 4 51 59 WSW 2 2 2 1 W 16 421 SW 7 2374 P 07/05-04 46 20 4 49 66 WSW 3 3 3 1 W 16 490 SW 6 2388 P 07/05-05 46 20 4 48 72 WSW 3 3 2 1 W 20 541 SW 5 2264 P 07/05-06 63 35 13 49 74 WSW 5 5 2 4 W 23 591 WSW 5 2139 P 07/05-07 63 35 13 54 64 WSW 5 5 2 4 W 21 2561 WSW 8 29039 P 07/05-08 63 35 13 60 54 WSW 6 6 2 4 WNW 18 4531 W 12 55940 F 07/05-09 63 35 13 65 47 WSW 6 6 2 4 WNW 16 6501 WNW 15 82840 G 07/05-10 63 35 13 69 41 WSW 6 6 2 4 WNW 17 6601 WNW 13 74483 G 07/05-11 63 35 13 70 39 WSW 6 6 2 4 WNW 18 6702 W 12 66127 G 07/05-12 75 43 20 71 38 WSW 6 6 2 4 WNW 20 6802 W 9 57771 F 07/05-13 75 43 20 71 38 WSW 7 7 2 4 WNW 21 6614 W 12 66337 G 07/05-14 75 43 20 71 37 WSW 7 7 2 4 WNW 21 6426 W 14 74903 G 07/05-15 75 43 20 70 39 W 8 13 2 4 W 22 6238 W 15 83470 G 07/05-16 75 43 20 68 44 W 8 13 2 4 WNW 22 6112 W 16 84189 G 07/05-17 75 43 20 66 49 W 7 7 2 4 WNW 22 5985 W 16 84909 G 07/05-18 74 36 14 64 54 W 7 7 2 4 WNW 22 5859 W 17 85629 G 07/05-19 74 36 14 61 59 W 7 7 2 4 NW 21 5147 W 16 72871 G 07/05-20 74 36 14 59 62 W 7 7 2 4 NW 20 4435 W 15 60114 G 07/05-21 74 36 14 57 64 W 7 7 2 4 NW 17 3724 W 15 47357 F 07/05-22 74 36 14 55 68 W 7 7 2 4 NW 16 2677 W 14 33350 P 07/05-23 74 36 14 54 70 W 6 6 3 4 WNW 16 1630 W 12 19343 P 07/06-00 52 10 2 53 71 W 6 6 3 2 W 15 584 W 10 5336 P 07/06-01 52 10 2 52 72 W 6 6 3 2 W 17 549 W 10 5088 P 07/06-02 52 10 2 52 70 W 6 6 2 2 W 20 514 W 10 4841 P 07/06-03 52 10 2 51 71 W 6 6 2 2 W 22 480 W 12 4594 P 07/06-04 52 10 2 49 76 W 6 6 2 2 W 23 456 W 10 4330 P 07/06-05 52 10 2 48 79 W 6 6 2 2 W 24 431 W 10 4065 P 07/06-06 60 21 4 49 77 W 7 7 2 3 W 25 407 W 10 3800 P 07/06-07 60 21 4 53 67 W 8 13 2 3 W 26 2210 W 15 40854 F 07/06-08 60 21 4 59 55 W 9 15 2 3 W 28 4014 W 18 77907 G 07/06-09 60 21 4 64 46 WSW 10 16 2 3 W 29 5817 W 23114960 V 07/06-10 60 21 4 68 40 W 9 15 2 3 W 30 5997 W 21106786 V 07/06-11 60 21 4 70 37 W 8 14 2 3 W 31 6177 W 18 98612 G 07/06-12 74 40 18 71 35 W 8 13 2 4 W 32 6356 W 16 90438 G 07/06-13 74 40 18 71 34 W 9 15 2 4 W 31 6467 W 17 95428 G 07/06-14 74 40 18 71 34 W 12 18 2 4 W 31 6578 W 17100419 V 07/06-15 74 40 18 70 35 W 13 21 2 4 W 30 6689 W 18105409 V 07/06-16 74 40 18 69 38 W 12 18 2 4 W 29 6569 W 18104178 V 07/06-17 74 40 18 68 42 W 10 16 2 4 W 28 6448 W 18102947 V 07/06-18 85 33 12 66 47 W 8 13 2 4 W 26 6328 W 18101716 V 07/06-19 85 33 12 63 49 W 7 7 2 4 W 28 5173 W 16 78613 G 07/06-20 85 33 12 61 49 W 7 7 3 4 W 28 4019 W 15 55510 F 07/06-21 85 33 12 58 51 W 7 7 3 4 W 28 2865 W 13 32408 P 07/06-22 85 33 12 57 54 W 6 6 3 4 W 25 2087 W 12 22981 P 07/06-23 85 33 12 56 59 WSW 6 6 3 4 W 23 1309 WSW 10 13555 P 07/07-00 63 22 4 55 64 WSW 5 5 3 3 W 21 531 WSW 9 4129 P 07/07-01 63 22 4 55 65 WSW 5 5 3 3 W 22 508 WSW 8 3685 P 07/07-02 63 22 4 54 67 WSW 3 3 3 3 W 23 486 WSW 8 3240 P 07/07-03 63 22 4 53 69 WSW 3 3 3 3 W 24 463 WSW 7 2796 P 07/07-04 63 22 4 51 73 WSW 3 3 3 3 W 25 434 WSW 7 2420 P 07/07-05 63 22 4 50 75 WSW 3 3 3 3 W 25 404 WSW 6 2044 P 07/07-06 60 26 6 51 71 WSW 3 3 3 4 W 26 374 WSW 5 1669 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130704.BIGME.01/BOU