FNUS75 KGJT 042326
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
526 PM MDT THU JUL 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOISTENING TREND THAT STARTED TODAY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. THEREFORE AN UPTICK IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS...WILL BE
EXPECTED. WHILE THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS WILL BE FAVORED FOR
THE MOST ACTIVE PERIODS...A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MORNINGS AND OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY STILL OCCUR
OUTSIDE RAIN SHAFTS. STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.

.FRIDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEYS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH
                    BY NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO 10100
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. BECOMING ISOLATED LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4...BECOMING 2 TOWARDS MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130704.BULLG.01/GJT