FNUS75 KBOU 051233 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 632 AM MDT FRI JUL 5 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0614 MDT ON JULY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST TODAY...RESULTING IN THE FLOW ALOFT TO SHIFT MORE WESTERLY AND PROVIDE SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE BURN AREA. A WEAK WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA NOW WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1000...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 74. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/05-06 77 19 4 52 68 W 5 5 3 1 W 13 514 W 8 3552 P 07/05-07 77 19 4 53 67 W 6 6 3 1 W 13 2435 W 12 35771 P 07/05-08 77 19 4 60 54 W 7 7 2 1 W 13 4355 W 15 67990 G 07/05-09 77 19 4 68 42 W 7 7 2 1 W 13 6276 W 18100209 V 07/05-10 83 25 5 73 36 W 7 7 2 4 W 14 6320 W 17 96389 G 07/05-11 83 25 5 76 32 W 6 6 2 4 WNW 15 6364 W 17 92569 G 07/05-12 83 49 25 77 31 W 5 5 2 4 WNW 16 6408 WNW 16 88749 G 07/05-13 90 49 25 77 31 WNW 6 6 2 4 WNW 18 6602 WNW 14 81993 G 07/05-14 94 49 25 76 32 WNW 6 6 2 4 WNW 20 6795 WNW 13 75237 G 07/05-15 94 49 25 75 33 WNW 6 6 2 4 WNW 22 6989 WNW 12 68481 G 07/05-16 94 49 25 73 37 WNW 6 6 2 4 WNW 20 7105 WNW 12 74029 G 07/05-17 94 49 25 70 43 W 6 6 3 4 NW 17 7220 WNW 13 79576 G 07/05-18 83 33 12 66 50 W 6 6 3 4 NW 15 7335 WNW 14 85124 G 07/05-19 83 33 12 64 53 W 6 6 3 4 NW 12 5678 WNW 13 64067 G 07/05-20 83 33 12 61 57 WSW 6 6 3 4 NW 8 4021 W 12 43011 F 07/05-21 83 30 9 58 62 SW 6 6 3 4 WNW 5 2363 W 10 21955 P 07/05-22 83 30 9 56 65 WSW 5 5 3 4 WNW 7 1810 W 10 16494 P 07/05-23 83 30 9 55 67 WSW 5 5 3 4 W 8 1257 W 9 11032 P 07/06-00 70 10 2 55 66 W 5 5 3 2 WSW 9 703 W 9 5570 P 07/06-01 70 10 2 54 68 W 5 5 3 2 WSW 12 618 W 9 4983 P 07/06-02 70 10 2 53 70 W 6 6 2 2 WSW 14 532 W 9 4397 P 07/06-03 75 10 2 51 74 W 6 6 2 2 WSW 15 446 W 10 3810 P 07/06-04 75 10 2 49 79 W 7 7 2 2 W 14 435 W 10 3773 P 07/06-05 75 10 2 48 80 W 7 7 2 2 WNW 14 423 W 10 3735 P 07/06-06 55 10 2 49 77 W 7 7 2 2 WNW 13 412 W 10 3698 P 07/06-07 55 10 2 53 65 W 7 7 2 2 WNW 12 1588 W 13 20417 P 07/06-08 55 10 2 59 51 WSW 7 7 3 2 W 9 2764 W 14 37135 P 07/06-09 54 21 4 64 43 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 7 3940 W 16 53854 F 07/06-10 54 21 4 68 38 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 8 4509 W 14 53370 F 07/06-11 54 21 4 70 37 W 8 8 2 3 W 8 5078 W 13 52887 F 07/06-12 74 37 15 71 36 W 8 13 2 4 WSW 9 5647 W 10 52403 F 07/06-13 74 37 15 71 36 W 9 14 2 4 W 15 5731 W 10 51162 F 07/06-14 74 37 15 71 35 W 9 15 2 4 W 21 5815 W 10 49921 F 07/06-15 74 37 15 70 36 W 9 15 2 4 W 26 5899 W 9 48680 F 07/06-16 74 37 15 69 39 W 8 13 2 4 W 26 6061 W 10 55512 F 07/06-17 74 37 15 68 43 W 6 6 2 4 W 25 6222 W 12 62345 G 07/06-18 85 42 19 66 48 W 5 5 2 4 W 24 6384 W 13 69177 G 07/06-19 85 42 19 64 51 W 6 6 2 4 W 22 5675 W 14 64597 G 07/06-20 85 42 19 61 54 W 6 6 2 4 W 20 4966 W 14 60017 G 07/06-21 85 42 19 59 55 W 7 7 2 4 W 18 4258 W 15 55436 F 07/06-22 85 42 19 57 59 W 6 6 2 4 W 20 3378 W 14 41807 F 07/06-23 85 42 19 56 62 WSW 3 3 2 4 WSW 21 2499 W 12 28177 P 07/07-00 60 21 4 55 64 WSW 2 2 2 3 WSW 23 1620 W 10 14547 P 07/07-01 60 21 4 54 64 WSW 2 2 2 3 WSW 23 1260 W 10 11153 P 07/07-02 60 21 4 54 61 W 2 2 2 3 WSW 23 900 W 9 7759 P 07/07-03 60 21 4 53 61 W 3 3 2 3 WSW 24 540 W 9 4365 P 07/07-04 60 21 4 51 67 W 3 3 2 3 W 24 438 W 9 3483 P 07/07-05 60 21 4 50 71 W 5 5 2 3 W 25 335 W 9 2601 P 07/07-06 65 32 11 51 71 WSW 5 5 2 4 W 26 233 W 8 1719 P 07/07-07 65 32 11 54 65 W 6 6 2 4 W 26 2209 W 13 38479 P 07/07-08 65 32 11 59 55 W 7 7 2 4 W 26 4185 W 17 75238 G 07/07-09 65 32 11 64 46 W 8 13 2 4 W 26 6160 W 21111997 V 07/07-10 65 32 11 68 40 W 8 13 2 4 W 26 6706 W 20110040 V 07/07-11 65 32 11 70 38 W 8 13 3 4 W 25 7251 W 17108083 V 07/07-12 74 48 24 71 36 W 8 13 3 4 W 24 7796 W 16106126 V 07/07-13 74 48 24 71 36 W 9 15 3 4 W 23 8108 W 14 99928 G 07/07-14 74 48 24 70 37 W 10 16 3 4 W 23 8420 W 13 93730 G 07/07-15 74 48 24 69 39 W 10 16 3 4 W 22 8732 W 12 87532 G 07/07-16 74 48 24 68 42 W 8 13 3 4 W 18 8462 W 10 79646 G 07/07-17 74 48 24 66 47 W 6 6 3 4 W 16 8192 W 10 71760 G 07/07-18 77 42 19 65 50 W 3 3 3 4 WSW 14 7921 W 9 63874 G 07/07-19 77 42 19 62 54 W 5 5 3 4 WSW 15 6121 W 8 47696 F 07/07-20 77 42 19 60 54 W 6 6 3 4 WSW 17 4321 W 8 31518 P 07/07-21 77 42 19 57 57 W 7 7 3 4 WSW 18 2521 W 7 15340 P 07/07-22 77 42 19 56 60 W 7 7 3 4 WSW 21 1851 WSW 6 10811 P 07/07-23 77 42 19 55 63 W 6 6 3 4 WSW 24 1181 WSW 5 6283 P 07/08-00 62 25 5 54 66 W 5 5 3 4 WSW 26 510 WSW 3 1754 P 07/08-01 62 25 5 54 63 W 5 5 3 4 WSW 26 493 WSW 5 2016 P 07/08-02 62 25 5 53 61 WNW 5 5 3 4 WSW 26 476 WSW 6 2278 P 07/08-03 62 25 5 52 61 WNW 5 5 3 4 WSW 28 458 WSW 7 2540 P 07/08-04 62 25 5 51 65 WNW 5 5 3 4 WSW 25 461 WSW 7 2787 P 07/08-05 62 25 5 50 70 W 5 5 3 4 WSW 24 465 W 8 3033 P 07/08-06 55 29 8 51 71 W 5 5 3 4 W 23 468 W 8 3280 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130705.BIGME.01/BOU