FNUS75 KRIW 051658
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TEPEE FIRE...YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1058 AM MDT FRI JUL 5 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1028 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING LATE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE STORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AGAIN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN EXCEPT
THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS DUE TO ALL THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE AREA.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45000-55000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-87 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2100...THEN 4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100L THEN POOR (16900-50000 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000L THEN BECOMING GOOD AROUND NOON
                    (35000-68600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...ED FOLTS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130705.TEPEE.01/RIW