FNUS75 KBOU 061231 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 630 AM MDT SAT JUL 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0613 MDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN MOIST TODAY AND BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF RAIN AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH THE SHOWERS. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN WEST THROUGH TONIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1130. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........71%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/06-06 64 10 2 55 66 WSW 6 6 2 2 W 15 774 W 15 10281 P 07/06-07 64 10 2 57 65 WSW 6 6 2 2 W 13 2049 W 14 23418 P 07/06-08 64 10 2 58 64 W 7 7 2 2 WSW 10 3324 W 14 36554 P 07/06-09 57 24 5 64 52 W 7 7 2 3 SW 8 4599 W 13 49691 F 07/06-10 57 24 5 69 43 W 7 7 2 3 SW 9 5135 W 12 48485 F 07/06-11 57 24 5 72 37 W 8 13 2 3 SW 12 5672 WNW 10 47280 F 07/06-12 74 43 20 73 34 W 8 13 2 4 SW 13 6208 WNW 8 46074 F 07/06-13 74 43 20 73 33 W 8 13 2 4 WSW 15 6291 WNW 8 41312 F 07/06-14 74 43 20 73 33 W 7 7 2 4 WSW 16 6374 W 7 36549 P 07/06-15 74 43 20 72 34 W 6 6 2 4 W 18 6456 W 6 31787 P 07/06-16 74 43 20 71 37 W 5 5 2 4 W 20 6159 W 7 35430 P 07/06-17 74 43 20 69 42 W 3 3 2 4 W 22 5862 W 8 39073 P 07/06-18 89 39 17 67 47 WNW 2 2 2 4 W 23 5564 W 9 42716 F 07/06-19 89 39 17 64 51 W 3 3 2 4 W 23 4807 W 9 37345 P 07/06-20 89 39 17 62 52 WSW 3 3 3 4 W 24 4050 W 9 31975 P 07/06-21 89 39 17 59 55 SW 5 5 3 4 W 24 3294 W 9 26604 P 07/06-22 89 39 17 57 59 SW 5 5 3 4 W 23 2493 W 8 19575 P 07/06-23 89 39 17 55 64 SW 3 3 3 4 W 23 1693 W 8 12545 P 07/07-00 64 16 3 54 66 SW 3 3 3 3 W 23 893 W 7 5516 P 07/07-01 64 16 3 54 65 SW 3 3 3 3 W 22 682 W 7 4176 P 07/07-02 64 16 3 54 65 WSW 2 2 3 3 W 21 472 W 7 2836 P 07/07-03 64 16 3 53 66 W 2 2 3 3 W 20 261 W 7 1496 P 07/07-04 64 16 3 52 68 W 3 3 3 3 WSW 21 219 W 7 1278 P 07/07-05 64 16 3 51 71 WSW 5 5 2 3 WSW 22 177 W 7 1061 P 07/07-06 44 20 4 51 71 WSW 6 6 2 3 WSW 23 134 W 7 843 P 07/07-07 44 20 4 55 63 WSW 6 6 2 3 WSW 22 2197 W 7 16575 P 07/07-08 44 20 4 61 52 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 21 4260 W 7 32308 P 07/07-09 44 20 4 66 45 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 20 6323 WSW 7 48040 F 07/07-10 44 20 4 69 40 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 20 8402 W 8 63901 G 07/07-11 44 20 4 70 38 W 7 7 3 3 W 18 10482 W 8 79761 G 07/07-12 76 54 29 71 36 W 7 7 3 4 W 18 12561 W 9 95621 G 07/07-13 76 54 29 71 36 W 7 7 3 4 W 17 11853 W 8 85680 G 07/07-14 76 54 29 72 34 W 7 7 3 4 W 17 11146 W 8 75739 G 07/07-15 76 54 29 71 35 W 7 7 3 4 W 16 10438 W 7 65797 G 07/07-16 76 54 29 69 38 W 6 6 3 4 W 16 9731 W 6 55856 F 07/07-17 76 54 29 67 42 W 6 6 3 4 WNW 16 9023 W 6 45914 F 07/07-18 71 39 17 64 48 W 5 5 3 4 WNW 15 8316 W 5 35973 P 07/07-19 71 39 17 61 55 WSW 3 3 3 4 WNW 15 6971 W 5 30195 P 07/07-20 71 39 17 58 62 WSW 3 3 3 4 W 15 5627 W 6 24418 P 07/07-21 71 39 17 55 69 WSW 3 3 3 4 W 15 4282 W 6 18641 P 07/07-22 71 39 17 52 76 WSW 3 3 3 4 WSW 15 2938 WSW 6 12863 P 07/07-23 71 39 17 50 79 W 5 5 3 4 WSW 15 1593 WSW 6 7086 P 07/08-00 49 22 4 49 80 W 5 5 3 3 WSW 15 249 WSW 6 1308 P 07/08-01 49 22 4 49 77 W 5 5 3 3 WSW 15 243 WSW 6 1273 P 07/08-02 49 22 4 48 78 W 5 5 3 3 WSW 15 237 WSW 6 1238 P 07/08-03 49 22 4 48 77 WNW 5 5 3 3 WSW 15 232 WSW 6 1203 P 07/08-04 49 22 4 46 82 W 5 5 3 3 WSW 16 226 WSW 6 1167 P 07/08-05 49 22 4 45 85 W 5 5 3 3 W 16 220 WSW 6 1132 P 07/08-06 48 10 2 46 83 W 5 5 3 2 W 16 215 WSW 6 1097 P 07/08-07 48 10 2 51 70 W 6 6 3 2 W 16 2259 W 7 25170 P 07/08-08 48 10 2 57 58 WSW 6 6 3 2 W 16 4304 W 8 49243 F 07/08-09 48 10 2 63 48 WSW 7 7 3 2 W 16 6348 W 9 73317 G 07/08-10 48 10 2 68 40 WSW 8 13 3 2 W 17 8392 W 10 97390 G 07/08-11 48 10 2 71 35 W 8 14 3 2 W 17 10437 W 13121463 V 07/08-12 63 37 15 72 33 W 9 15 3 4 W 17 12481 W 14145536 V 07/08-13 63 37 15 73 31 W 10 16 3 4 W 16 11938 W 14139137 V 07/08-14 63 37 15 73 30 W 12 17 3 4 W 16 11395 W 14132737 V 07/08-15 63 37 15 72 30 W 12 18 3 4 W 15 10852 W 14126338 V 07/08-16 63 37 15 71 31 W 12 18 3 4 WSW 15 10308 W 14119939 V 07/08-17 63 37 15 68 35 W 12 17 3 4 WSW 14 9765 W 14113539 V 07/08-18 63 22 4 66 39 W 10 16 3 3 WSW 13 9222 W 14107140 V 07/08-19 63 22 4 62 44 W 9 15 3 3 WSW 15 7705 W 13 89464 G 07/08-20 63 22 4 59 48 W 9 14 3 3 WSW 17 6189 W 13 71789 G 07/08-21 63 22 4 56 53 W 8 13 3 3 W 20 4672 W 12 54113 F 07/08-22 63 22 4 54 57 W 8 8 3 3 W 21 3156 W 12 36438 P 07/08-23 63 22 4 53 61 W 7 7 3 3 W 23 1639 W 10 18762 P 07/09-00 35 4 1 52 64 W 7 7 3 1 W 25 123 W 10 1087 P 07/09-01 35 4 1 52 63 W 7 7 3 1 W 25 140 W 9 1135 P 07/09-02 35 4 1 50 67 W 6 6 3 1 W 25 158 W 9 1183 P 07/09-03 35 4 1 48 71 W 6 6 3 1 W 25 175 WSW 8 1232 P 07/09-04 35 4 1 46 76 W 6 6 3 1 W 25 192 WSW 8 1280 P 07/09-05 35 4 1 44 81 W 6 6 3 1 W 26 210 WSW 8 1328 P 07/09-06 32 4 1 46 73 W 6 6 3 1 W 26 227 WSW 7 1376 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130706.BIGME.01/BOU