FNUS75 KGJT 061543
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST FORK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
943 AM MDT SAT JUL 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0913 MDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO CIRCULATE MOISTURE OVER WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THIS RELATIVELY HIGH LEVEL OF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND OCCASIONAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES WILL
RESULT IN AFTERNOON AND EVENING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH TODAY AND SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. WETTING RAINS WILL OCCUR UNDER THE SHOWERS AS
WELL AS ERRATIC WIND GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. INCREASING TO 8-12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1400. THUNDERSTORM
                    OUTFLOW WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY DOMINATE
                    SURFACE AND 20-FOOT WINDS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (117400-140300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......300 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH. VARIABLE THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH MAY CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
                    AT TIMES UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. VARIABLE
                    WINDS NEAR SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (87900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (4300-33200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......1050 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6...EXCEPT NEAR SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHEN OUTFLOWS MAY DOMINATE.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH AFTER 1300 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
                    THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH
                    MAY DOMINATE SURFACE AND 20-FOOT WINDS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7100-51500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD (76700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BEN MOYER
REQUESTED BY...TODD OPPERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130706.EASTF.01/GJT