FNUS75 KBOU 071255 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 654 AM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0609 MDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ALOFT. HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH ANOTHER AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL HAVE BRIEF MODERATE RAIN AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. SLIGHTLY MORE DRYING TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST...LIMITING THE CHANCE OF ANY STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MONDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THIS DRYING TREND WITH LESS COVERAGE EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72 NEAR 9500 FT...AROUND 64 NEAR 12000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........35-42%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47 NEAR 12000 FT...AROUND 42 NEAR 9500. MAX HUMIDITY........83%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77 NEAR 9500 FT...AROUND 69 NEAR 12000. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/07-06 38 20 4 48 80 W 6 6 3 3 W 24 488 WSW 9 3910 P 07/07-07 38 20 4 55 64 W 6 6 3 3 W 23 2065 WSW 12 26324 P 07/07-08 38 20 4 62 52 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 22 3643 W 14 48738 F 07/07-09 56 20 4 67 43 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 22 5221 W 16 71152 G 07/07-10 56 20 4 71 37 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 22 6382 W 16 87430 G 07/07-11 56 20 4 73 33 WSW 7 7 2 3 W 22 7544 W 16103708 V 07/07-12 78 44 21 74 32 WSW 7 7 2 4 W 22 8706 W 16119986 V 07/07-13 78 44 21 74 33 WSW 7 7 2 4 W 21 8489 W 15107070 V 07/07-14 78 44 21 74 34 WSW 6 6 3 4 W 18 8273 W 13 94153 G 07/07-15 87 54 29 73 37 W 6 6 3 4 W 17 8057 W 12 81237 G 07/07-16 87 54 29 72 38 WSW 5 5 3 4 W 17 7748 W 10 71915 G 07/07-17 87 54 29 70 41 SW 5 5 3 4 W 17 7440 W 9 62593 G 07/07-18 89 45 22 67 45 SW 3 3 3 4 W 17 7131 W 8 53271 F 07/07-19 89 45 22 64 50 SW 3 3 3 4 W 18 5634 W 9 42336 F 07/07-20 89 45 22 61 56 SW 3 3 3 4 W 18 4137 W 9 31401 P 07/07-21 89 45 22 57 64 SW 3 3 3 4 W 20 2641 WSW 9 20466 P 07/07-22 89 45 22 54 71 SW 3 3 3 4 W 18 2155 WSW 9 16653 P 07/07-23 89 45 22 53 73 WSW 3 3 3 4 WSW 17 1669 WSW 9 12839 P 07/08-00 73 10 2 51 77 WSW 3 3 3 2 WSW 16 1183 WSW 9 9025 P 07/08-01 73 10 2 50 77 WSW 3 3 3 2 WSW 17 884 WSW 8 6514 P 07/08-02 73 10 2 49 76 W 3 3 3 2 W 20 586 W 7 4003 P 07/08-03 73 10 2 48 77 W 3 3 3 2 W 21 287 W 6 1492 P 07/08-04 73 10 2 48 77 W 3 3 3 2 W 21 373 W 7 2229 P 07/08-05 73 10 2 47 81 W 5 5 3 2 WSW 22 460 W 7 2966 P 07/08-06 57 7 1 47 83 W 5 5 3 1 WSW 23 546 W 8 3703 P 07/08-07 57 7 1 49 78 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 22 2407 W 10 31673 P 07/08-08 57 7 1 55 63 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 21 4267 W 14 59644 F 07/08-09 57 15 3 61 52 WSW 7 7 3 3 W 20 6128 WNW 16 87614 G 07/08-10 57 15 3 68 40 WSW 8 13 4 3 W 20 8040 W 15104880 V 07/08-11 57 15 3 73 34 W 8 14 4 3 W 20 9952 W 15122147 V 07/08-12 70 43 15 75 32 W 9 15 4 4 W 21 11864 W 14139413 V 07/08-13 70 43 15 76 29 W 10 16 5 4 W 20 12174 W 14145887 V 07/08-14 70 43 15 77 29 W 12 16 5 4 W 18 12483 W 14152360 E 07/08-15 70 43 15 77 29 W 12 16 5 4 W 17 12792 W 14158834 E 07/08-16 70 43 15 75 30 W 12 17 5 4 W 18 11969 W 14148648 V 07/08-17 70 43 15 73 32 W 12 17 5 4 W 18 11145 W 14138462 V 07/08-18 62 30 6 70 37 W 10 16 5 4 W 20 10322 W 14128276 V 07/08-19 62 30 6 66 42 W 9 15 5 4 W 21 7052 W 13 87051 G 07/08-20 62 30 6 62 45 W 8 14 5 4 W 21 3783 W 12 45827 F 07/08-21 62 30 6 59 51 W 7 13 4 4 W 22 513 W 10 4603 P 07/08-22 62 30 6 56 55 W 7 8 4 4 W 23 1084 W 10 10797 P 07/08-23 62 30 6 54 61 W 6 7 4 4 W 25 1654 W 12 16991 P 07/09-00 41 4 1 53 64 W 6 7 4 1 W 26 2225 W 12 23185 P 07/09-01 41 4 1 53 67 W 6 7 4 1 W 30 1577 W 12 16185 P 07/09-02 41 4 1 53 67 W 5 6 4 1 W 35 929 W 10 9184 P 07/09-03 41 4 1 52 68 W 5 6 4 1 W 38 280 W 9 2184 P 07/09-04 41 4 1 49 68 W 5 6 4 1 W 37 354 W 9 2705 P 07/09-05 41 4 1 47 70 W 6 5 4 1 WNW 37 427 W 9 3226 P 07/09-06 32 4 1 48 71 W 6 5 4 1 WNW 36 500 W 8 3746 P 07/09-07 32 4 1 53 66 W 6 5 4 1 WNW 35 3304 W 13 52183 F 07/09-08 32 4 1 60 53 W 7 6 4 1 WNW 33 6107 W 16100619 V 07/09-09 32 4 1 67 42 W 7 7 4 1 W 32 8910 W 20149056 V 07/09-10 32 4 1 72 32 W 7 8 5 1 W 28 10421 W 17154818 E 07/09-11 32 4 1 75 26 W 8 13 5 1 W 23 11932 W 16160580 E 07/09-12 53 17 4 76 24 W 8 13 5 3 W 20 13443 W 14166342 E 07/09-13 53 17 4 77 23 W 8 13 5 3 W 18 13069 W 13148059 V 07/09-14 53 17 4 78 24 W 8 7 5 3 W 17 12695 W 12129776 V 07/09-15 53 17 4 78 25 W 8 6 5 3 W 16 12321 W 10111493 V 07/09-16 53 17 4 76 25 W 7 6 5 3 W 18 11186 W 10101034 V 07/09-17 53 17 4 74 26 WNW 5 5 5 3 W 20 10051 W 10 90575 G 07/09-18 58 15 3 71 30 WNW 3 3 4 2 W 21 8917 W 10 80116 G 07/09-19 58 15 3 67 35 W 2 2 2 07/09-20 58 15 3 64 38 CALM 2 2 07/09-21 58 15 3 61 44 CALM 2 2 07/09-22 58 15 3 58 48 CALM 1 2 07/09-23 58 15 3 57 52 CALM 1 2 07/10-00 40 7 1 56 55 SE 2 1 1 07/10-01 40 7 1 55 57 SE 2 1 1 07/10-02 40 7 1 54 60 SSE 3 1 1 07/10-03 40 7 1 53 62 SSE 3 2 1 07/10-04 40 7 1 51 62 S 3 2 1 07/10-05 40 7 1 50 64 S 3 3 1 07/10-06 34 7 2 51 63 S 3 3 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130707.BIGME.01/BOU