FNUS75 KGJT 080236
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAT...SUA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
836 PM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1956 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INTERACTING BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER FROM EARLIER
CONVECTION IN NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR A
ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS EVENING.
BY LATE TONIGHT...THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH...WITH
ONLY A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE UNTIL MORNING. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO
WORK INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY. HOWEVER ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL
LINGER FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE STRONG
AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%) UNTIL SUNSET...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BETWEEN
                    2200 AND 0100. THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE TONIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH UNTIL SUNSET...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 0100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY6 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS...AND
                    THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    20-30 MPH MAY AT TIMES DOMINATE 20-FOOT WINDS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN BECOMING GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130707.CAT__.01/GJT