FNUS74 KLZK 071344 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR VANDERSLICE FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 844 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0822 CDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS THIS MORNING AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BE LIGHT UPSLOPE OR MAYBE LIGHT EASTERLY. HOWEVER...EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST BY MID MORNING AS THE INVERSION WEARS OFF...WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE NEGLIGIBLE MOST OF THE DAY BUT COULD SEE SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY GIVEN LAKE SURFACE TO THE SOUTH. DEWPOINTS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S TODAY...SO WOULD NOT EXPECT MIN RH VALUES TO DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT INDICATED IN FORECAST. WINDS SHOULD DIE DOWN FAIRLY QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING WITH WEAK FLOW...AND GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH MAX RH VALUES OVERNIGHT AROUND 90 PERCENT. CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO TODAY...WITH MANAGEABLE AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MAX 92. RH..................85 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 41 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH BY LATE MORNING. SOME GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH MAY OCCUR LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5163 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............74 77 80 82 85 87 90 92 92 92 RH..............85 77 71 64 59 54 49 45 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 11 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 71. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LVORI...............1. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............92 90 87 83 80 79 77 76 75 74 73 72 RH..............42 44 49 56 62 66 69 73 76 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.11 7 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.6 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6101 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 72 75 78 82 85 88 91 92 94 94 94 RH..............88 89 81 72 63 57 52 49 46 45 44 44 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.1 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130707.VANDE.01/LZK