FNUS75 KBOU 081224 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 622 AM MDT MON JUL 8 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0611 MDT ON JULY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE SOME DRYING ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LIGHTNING WILL BE A CONCERN...BUT THE STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE AT 20 TO 25 MPH FROM THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........70%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/08-06 59 7 1 46 86 SW 3 3 2 1 WSW 29 451 WSW 9 3530 P 07/08-07 59 7 1 51 72 SW 6 6 2 1 WSW 29 2244 WSW 13 38222 P 07/08-08 59 7 1 58 57 WSW 8 13 2 1 W 30 4036 W 17 72913 G 07/08-09 59 15 3 65 45 WSW 10 16 2 1 W 31 5829 W 21107604 V 07/08-10 59 15 3 70 38 WSW 13 21 2 1 W 32 7106 W 22136163 V 07/08-11 59 15 3 73 34 WSW 15 23 3 1 W 33 8384 W 22164722 E 07/08-12 70 43 20 75 31 WSW 16 25 3 4 W 36 9661 W 23193282 E 07/08-13 70 43 20 76 28 WSW 17 28 3 4 W 30 10090 W 22189372 E 07/08-14 70 43 20 77 26 WSW 17 28 3 4 W 25 10519 W 21185461 E 07/08-15 70 43 20 77 26 WSW 17 28 3 4 W 20 10948 W 20181551 E 07/08-16 70 43 20 76 27 WSW 17 28 3 4 W 20 10642 W 18172795 E 07/08-17 70 43 20 74 30 W 16 26 3 4 W 21 10336 W 18164038 E 07/08-18 68 19 4 71 34 W 15 24 3 3 W 21 10029 W 17155281 E 07/08-19 68 19 4 67 38 W 13 21 3 3 W 24 8280 W 18130384 V 07/08-20 68 19 4 63 42 W 12 17 3 3 W 29 6530 W 18105486 V 07/08-21 68 19 4 59 47 W 9 15 3 3 W 33 4781 W 20 80588 G 07/08-22 68 19 4 56 53 W 8 13 3 3 W 32 3334 W 17 55458 F 07/08-23 68 19 4 54 58 W 7 7 3 3 W 32 1888 W 15 30328 P 07/09-00 31 4 1 52 64 W 7 7 3 1 W 31 441 W 14 5198 P 07/09-01 31 4 1 52 62 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 31 449 W 13 5031 P 07/09-02 31 4 1 52 60 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 31 456 W 13 4864 P 07/09-03 31 4 1 51 61 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 31 463 W 12 4698 P 07/09-04 31 4 1 49 65 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 31 435 W 12 4234 P 07/09-05 31 4 1 47 70 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 30 406 W 10 3770 P 07/09-06 32 2 0 48 68 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 29 377 W 10 3306 P 07/09-07 32 2 0 52 59 W 6 6 3 1 WNW 25 2585 W 10 25457 P 07/09-08 32 2 0 59 47 W 7 7 3 1 W 22 4794 W 9 47608 F 07/09-09 32 2 0 65 38 W 7 7 3 1 W 18 7002 W 9 69760 G 07/09-10 32 2 0 69 32 W 7 7 3 1 W 17 9290 W 10 92737 G 07/09-11 32 2 0 72 27 W 8 13 3 1 W 16 11578 W 10115715 V 07/09-12 53 17 3 73 25 W 8 13 3 3 W 15 13866 W 12138693 V 07/09-13 53 17 3 74 24 W 8 14 3 3 W 14 13641 W 10120748 V 07/09-14 53 17 3 75 23 W 8 14 4 3 W 13 13417 W 8102802 V 07/09-15 53 17 3 75 23 W 8 13 4 3 W 13 13193 W 7 84857 G 07/09-16 53 17 3 73 25 W 7 7 4 3 W 12 12969 W 6 66912 G 07/09-17 53 17 3 71 26 WNW 6 6 5 3 WSW 10 12745 W 5 48967 F 07/09-18 58 20 4 68 30 WNW 5 5 5 3 WSW 9 12521 W 2 31021 P 07/09-19 58 20 4 64 35 WNW 3 3 5 3 WSW 10 10476 W 3 26083 P 07/09-20 58 20 4 60 42 NW 2 2 4 3 WSW 12 8431 WSW 3 21146 P 07/09-21 58 20 4 56 51 CALM 1 4 3 WSW 14 6386 SSW 5 16208 P 07/09-22 58 20 4 54 55 CALM 1 4 3 WSW 15 4341 S 6 11270 P 07/09-23 58 20 4 52 59 E 2 2 3 3 WSW 16 2296 SSE 6 6332 P 07/10-00 40 6 1 50 63 ESE 2 2 3 1 WSW 17 252 SE 7 1394 P 07/10-01 40 6 1 49 66 SE 2 2 3 1 WSW 18 251 SSE 7 1389 P 07/10-02 40 6 1 48 70 SE 2 2 3 1 WSW 18 251 SSE 7 1385 P 07/10-03 40 6 1 47 74 SE 2 2 3 1 W 20 251 SSE 7 1380 P 07/10-04 40 6 1 45 81 SSE 2 2 3 1 W 21 250 S 6 1375 P 07/10-05 40 6 1 44 85 S 3 3 3 1 W 22 250 S 6 1371 P 07/10-06 34 3 1 46 79 S 3 3 3 1 W 23 250 S 6 1366 P 07/10-07 34 3 1 51 67 SSW 3 3 3 1 W 22 2353 S 7 17601 P 07/10-08 34 3 1 58 52 SW 3 3 3 1 W 20 4457 SSW 7 33836 P 07/10-09 34 3 1 64 41 SW 3 3 3 1 W 18 6561 SW 8 50071 F 07/10-10 34 3 1 69 33 WSW 5 5 3 1 W 17 8664 SW 8 66306 G 07/10-11 34 3 1 73 27 WSW 5 5 3 1 W 16 10768 WSW 8 82540 G 07/10-12 51 21 4 74 25 WSW 6 6 3 3 W 15 12872 WSW 9 98775 G 07/10-13 51 21 4 75 24 W 7 7 3 3 W 16 12700 WSW 9 97057 G 07/10-14 51 21 4 75 23 W 7 7 3 3 W 16 12528 W 9 95339 G 07/10-15 51 21 4 74 24 W 7 7 4 3 W 17 12356 W 9 93620 G 07/10-16 51 21 4 73 24 W 6 6 4 3 W 17 12184 W 9 91902 G 07/10-17 51 21 4 72 25 WNW 5 5 4 3 WNW 18 12013 W 9 90184 G 07/10-18 50 18 4 69 27 WNW 3 3 4 3 WNW 18 11841 WNW 8 88465 G 07/10-19 50 18 4 65 33 W 2 2 4 3 WNW 18 9885 WNW 8 73774 G 07/10-20 50 18 4 61 41 CALM 1 4 3 W 17 7929 W 7 59083 F 07/10-21 50 18 4 57 51 CALM 1 4 3 W 17 5973 W 6 44392 F 07/10-22 50 18 4 54 58 CALM 1 4 3 W 17 4017 W 6 29701 P 07/10-23 50 18 4 52 62 SSW 2 2 4 3 W 16 2061 W 5 15010 P 07/11-00 35 2 0 51 63 S 2 2 4 1 W 16 105 W 3 319 P 07/11-01 35 2 0 50 64 SSW 2 2 4 1 W 15 106 W 3 344 P 07/11-02 35 2 0 49 65 SSW 3 3 4 1 W 15 107 W 3 370 P 07/11-03 35 2 0 48 66 SSW 3 3 4 1 WNW 14 108 W 5 395 P 07/11-04 35 2 0 46 69 SW 3 3 4 1 WNW 14 109 WSW 5 420 P 07/11-05 35 2 0 45 70 SW 5 5 4 1 WNW 13 109 WSW 5 445 P 07/11-06 29 5 1 47 63 SW 5 5 4 1 NW 13 110 WSW 5 470 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RTG REQUESTED BY...CODY NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130708.BIGME.01/BOU