FNUS75 KGJT 090407
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRONCO KNOB...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1007 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2108 MDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE DRYING TREND BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED ON TUESDAY
FOR A DOWNTURN IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. HOWEVER ENOUGH MOISTURE
WILL LINGER FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP DURING
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. DUE TO LESS CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB A COUPLE DEGREES. THE DRYING/WARMING TREND
WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE TERRAIN
DRIVEN...EXCEPT GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS MAY DOMINATE AT TIMES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
EACH DAY.

.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-5 MPH). BECOMING UPSLOPE/
                    UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 1200. AFTER 1500 BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO
                    18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN INCREASING TO
                    15 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-5 MPH). BECOMING UPSLOPE/
                    UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH AFTER 1200. A FEW GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130708.BRONC.02/GJT