FNUS75 KGJT 092334
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRONCO KNOB...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
534 PM MDT TUE JUL 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1651 MDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
LITTLE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. THE FLOW
ALOFT REMAINS LIGHT...THEREFORE SURFACE AND 20-FOOT WINDS WILL BE
TERRAIN DOMINATED. BY EARLY THURSDAY THE FLOW TAKES ON A
SOUTHWEST COMPONENT AS THE RESIDENT HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SHIFTS
EASTWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW INCREASED SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE TO
AGAIN RETURN TO WESTERN COLORADO FOR A NOTICEABLE UP TICK IN THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN BECOMING VARIABLE. AFTER 1200 BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. AFTER 1500...THUNDERSTORM
                    OUTFLOW WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH
                    MAY DOMINATE SURFACE WINDS AT TIMES.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    11900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130709.BRONC.01/GJT