FNUS75 KBOU 102338 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HELL CANYON...LARIMER COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 538 PM MDT WED JUL 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1724 MDT ON JULY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A VIGOUROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA IN THE NEXT HOUR WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. THE BOUNDARY MAY BE ABLE TO INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FOOTHILLS...THIS IS SOMETHING TO MONITOR IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2300...THEN POOR. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 1300-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4700-5700 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1500...THEN 10800-11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1300. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 9200-9900 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 6800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2400. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2900-3900 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7300-8300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8900-9900 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HELL CANYON. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/10-17 64 41 18 81 27 ESE 6 6 3 4 W 16 8702 SE 5 37955 P 07/10-18 54 38 16 79 29 ESE 6 6 3 4 W 16 8359 ESE 5 34322 P 07/10-19 54 38 16 76 33 ESE 6 6 3 4 W 15 6660 ESE 10 43093 F 07/10-20 54 38 16 72 38 ESE 5 5 2 4 WSW 14 4962 ESE 16 51865 F 07/10-21 48 15 3 68 45 ESE 5 5 2 3 WSW 13 3263 ESE 22 60636 G 07/10-22 48 15 3 65 52 SE 3 3 2 3 W 12 2974 ESE 18 49555 F 07/10-23 48 15 3 63 57 S 2 2 3 3 W 10 2684 SSE 16 38474 P 07/11-00 35 4 1 61 62 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 9 2395 S 13 27393 P 07/11-01 35 4 1 60 65 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 10 1771 S 9 18821 P 07/11-02 35 4 1 59 66 W 2 2 3 1 W 10 1148 SSW 7 10249 P 07/11-03 37 4 1 58 67 WNW 3 3 3 1 W 12 524 SW 3 1676 P 07/11-04 37 4 1 56 69 W 5 5 3 1 W 13 483 SW 3 1559 P 07/11-05 37 4 1 55 69 W 5 5 3 1 W 14 442 SW 3 1442 P 07/11-06 28 0 0 56 64 W 5 5 3 1 W 15 401 SW 3 1324 P 07/11-07 28 0 0 60 54 SW 3 3 3 1 W 14 836 SSW 5 4240 P 07/11-08 28 0 0 66 42 S 2 2 4 1 W 13 1270 SSW 6 7155 P 07/11-09 39 0 0 72 34 SSE 2 2 4 1 W 12 1705 S 7 10071 P 07/11-10 39 0 0 77 28 SE 3 3 4 1 W 12 4025 SSW 7 25261 P 07/11-11 39 0 0 80 25 SE 5 5 4 1 W 13 6344 SSW 7 40452 F 07/11-12 52 10 2 83 23 SE 6 6 4 2 W 13 8664 SSW 7 55643 F 07/11-13 52 10 2 85 21 SE 7 7 4 2 W 14 9771 SSW 7 66336 G 07/11-14 52 10 2 86 20 SE 8 8 3 2 W 14 10879 S 8 77029 G 07/11-15 70 26 6 86 20 SE 9 14 3 4 W 15 11986 S 8 87722 G 07/11-16 70 26 6 85 20 SE 9 14 4 4 W 13 10548 S 10 88395 G 07/11-17 70 26 6 82 22 SE 9 9 4 4 W 10 9110 S 12 89068 G 07/11-18 52 10 2 79 24 SSE 8 13 5 2 WSW 8 7671 S 14 89741 G 07/11-19 52 10 2 76 27 SSE 7 7 5 2 WSW 7 8416 SSW 12 78363 G 07/11-20 52 10 2 72 31 S 6 6 4 2 SW 6 9160 WSW 9 66985 G 07/11-21 31 3 1 69 35 SSW 5 5 4 1 SW 5 9905 W 7 55608 F 07/11-22 31 3 1 66 40 SW 5 5 4 1 WSW 6 6758 W 6 37728 P 07/11-23 31 3 1 64 44 SW 5 5 4 1 WSW 7 3611 W 6 19849 P 07/12-00 45 4 1 62 48 WSW 6 6 4 1 W 8 464 W 5 1970 P 07/12-01 45 4 1 61 50 WSW 7 7 4 1 W 9 389 W 6 1919 P 07/12-02 45 4 1 61 50 W 8 14 3 1 WSW 10 313 W 8 1868 P 07/12-03 47 4 1 59 53 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 12 238 W 9 1817 P 07/12-04 47 4 1 57 57 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 12 237 W 8 1709 P 07/12-05 47 4 1 56 59 W 9 15 3 1 SW 13 237 W 8 1600 P 07/12-06 33 5 1 57 57 W 8 13 3 1 SW 13 236 W 7 1492 P 07/12-07 33 5 1 61 49 W 6 6 3 1 SW 14 2298 W 6 7572 P 07/12-08 33 5 1 67 40 W 3 3 3 1 SSW 15 4360 W 5 13652 P 07/12-09 44 5 1 73 33 CALM 1 3 1 SSW 16 6422 W 3 19732 P 07/12-10 44 5 1 78 28 CALM 1 3 1 SSW 17 7656 WSW 5 29712 P 07/12-11 44 5 1 82 25 SSE 2 2 3 1 SSW 18 8890 S 5 39691 P 07/12-12 63 19 4 84 24 ESE 3 3 3 3 S 18 10123 SSE 6 49670 F 07/12-13 63 19 4 85 23 ESE 2 2 3 3 S 20 10189 SSE 6 49020 F 07/12-14 63 19 4 85 23 ESE 2 2 3 3 S 20 10254 SSE 6 48371 F 07/12-15 74 30 9 84 25 CALM 1 3 4 S 20 10319 S 6 47721 F 07/12-16 74 30 9 83 26 CALM 1 3 4 S 23 8453 S 6 40981 F 07/12-17 74 30 9 81 28 CALM 1 3 4 S 25 6587 SW 6 34241 P 07/12-18 75 23 5 78 32 WNW 2 2 3 3 S 29 4722 WSW 7 27501 P 07/12-19 75 23 5 74 38 WNW 3 3 3 3 S 30 3521 WSW 6 19268 P 07/12-20 75 23 5 71 43 W 3 3 3 3 SSW 31 2319 WSW 5 11035 P 07/12-21 75 23 5 68 49 W 5 5 3 3 SSW 32 1118 WSW 3 2802 P 07/12-22 75 23 5 66 53 W 5 5 3 3 SSW 28 872 WSW 3 2292 P 07/12-23 75 23 5 64 58 W 5 5 3 3 SW 23 627 WSW 3 1783 P 07/13-00 45 9 2 63 60 W 5 5 3 1 WSW 18 381 WSW 3 1274 P 07/13-01 45 9 2 61 65 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 18 349 WSW 5 1416 P 07/13-02 45 9 2 59 70 W 8 13 3 1 WSW 17 317 W 6 1558 P 07/13-03 45 9 2 58 72 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 16 285 W 7 1700 P 07/13-04 45 9 2 56 77 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 16 268 W 7 1646 P 07/13-05 45 9 2 56 77 W 9 14 3 1 SW 16 252 W 7 1591 P 07/13-06 56 9 2 58 72 W 8 13 3 1 SW 16 235 W 8 1537 P 07/13-07 56 9 2 62 64 W 7 7 3 1 SW 17 2270 W 9 22832 P 07/13-08 56 9 2 67 55 W 6 6 3 1 SW 17 4305 W 10 44128 F 07/13-09 56 9 2 73 46 W 5 5 3 1 SW 17 6340 W 12 65423 G 07/13-10 56 9 2 77 41 WSW 3 3 3 1 SW 17 7314 W 10 67175 G 07/13-11 56 9 2 80 39 SW 2 2 3 1 SW 18 8288 W 10 68928 G 07/13-12 65 27 7 83 36 SSW 2 2 3 4 SW 18 9263 WSW 9 70680 G 07/13-13 65 27 7 84 35 SSW 2 2 3 4 SW 20 9255 WSW 8 65756 G 07/13-14 65 27 7 84 35 SSW 2 2 3 4 SW 21 9248 WSW 8 60832 G 07/13-15 65 27 7 84 34 SSW 2 2 3 4 SW 22 9240 WSW 7 55907 F 07/13-16 65 27 7 83 36 SSW 2 2 3 4 SW 22 8931 WSW 7 54766 F 07/13-17 65 27 7 82 37 SSW 3 3 3 4 SW 22 8623 WSW 7 53625 F 07/13-18 59 28 8 80 39 SSW 3 3 3 4 SSW 21 8314 WSW 7 52483 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RTG REQUESTED BY...OCEAN 3 TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130710.HELLC.01/BOU