FNUS75 KGJT 102320
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRONCO KNOB...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
520 PM MDT WED JUL 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1640 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
PRODUCE WETTING RAINFALL...AND BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
IS POSSIBLE. THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS SHOULD LEAD TO
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO THEN REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100...INCREASING TO SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH. AFTER 1300....SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH
                    WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH. STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH AFTER 1200.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNSLOPE
                    3-5 MPH AFTER 2100. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH AFTER
                    2200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130710.BRONC.01/GJT