FNUS76 KMFR 100618
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAN CREEK...OR-CBD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1118 PM PDT TUE JUL 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE 24 HOUR CHANGE IS EXPECTED AT THE PRESCRIBED FIRE LOCATION. WINDS
WILL AGAIN BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL TERRAIN CAUSING A BIG
DIFFERENCE IN WIND DIRECTION AT THE SURFACE VERSUS AT THE TOP OF THE
MIXED LAYER. TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY THE MARINE LAYER WILL LIFT
VERTICALLY. THIS WILL LIKELY YIELD SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS ON
THURSDAY WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH FOG IN THE MORNING, CLEARING
                    AROUND 9 AM LOCAL TIME.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH EARLY, BECOMING VARIABLE
                    MID-MORNING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH MORNING, THEN
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY WITH FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS DIMINISHING AND BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHEAST
                    5 MPH IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10-15 MPH EARLY, THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH FOG IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH EARLY, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...BILL ELAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130710.DEANC.01/MFR