FNUS75 KMSO 111012
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
412 AM MDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2106 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY,
WITH THE MOST LIKELY TIME OF THEIR OCCURRENCE BETWEEN 1000 AND
1400 HRS MDT TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGH BASED
AND LIKELY WILL NOT PRODUCE MUCH PRECIPITATION UNLESS RIGHT UNDER
THE CORE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS DUE TO THE
DRY LOW LEVELS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION SHOULD
ALLOW WINDS TO KICK UP SLIGHTLY EARLIER THAN NORMAL AND BECOME
GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS. THE FIRE
LOCATION WITHIN THE DRAINAGE MAY SEE MORE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION DUE TO TERRAIN EFFECTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING WEST WINDS 5-11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH, MAINLY NEAR THE RIDGE TOPS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-11 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...JENNK
REQUESTED BY...J MALATARE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130710.BLACK.01/MSO