FNUS75 KGJT 111445
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY BASIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
845 AM MDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS SURGING OVER THE BURN SITE
THIS MORNING. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. STORM MOTION TODAY WILL BE TO THE
NORTH AT 15 MPH. REMAIN SITUATIONALLY AWARE OF SHOWERS OR VIRGA
FORMING TO THE SOUTH THAT COULD QUICKLY PRODUCE OUTFLOW WINDS.

.TODAY UNTIL SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 4-8 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BY NOON.
                    GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS OF 40-55 MPH NEAR SHOWERS
                    AND STORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1000+.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER IN
                    STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    STRONGER ERRATIC GUSTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH WITH
                    ISOLATED GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......500-800.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER NEAR STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......500 INCREASING TO 1000+.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JAMES PILSMAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130711.BRUSH.01/GJT