FNUS75 KGJT 111718
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILK CREEK...GRAND JUNCTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1118 AM MDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1044 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS SURGING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
THIS MORNING WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THIS BURN SITE. STORMS WILL
BE LIMITED UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HEAVY SHOWER POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE
ON FRIDAY. STORM MOTION THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND FRIDAY WILL
BE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. REMAIN SITUATIONALLY AWARE OF
SHOWERS OR VIRGA FORMING TO THE SOUTHWEST THAT COULD QUICKLY
PRODUCE OUTFLOW WINDS.


.TODAY UNTIL SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4 UNTIL 1500...THEN 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL EXCEPT
                    HIGHER NEAR STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130711.MILKC.01/GJT