FNUS72 KJAX 111122 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR PRESCRIBED BURN ZONE 15 PAYNES PRAIRIE STATE PARK...FL DEP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 722 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS A COLD FRONT AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN UNDER 15 MPH...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 43. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........54 55 62 65 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 88 90 89 RH..............71 59 52 53 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 3100 3800 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 10 S 13 SW 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 60 LAL.............2 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 6. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM RH..............59 71 81 86 89 92 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2000 1200 900 700 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 10 SW 7 S 6 S 6 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 20 20 20 LAL.............4 3 3 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 19. $$ FORECASTER...SHULER REQUESTED BY...ANDREA CHRISTMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130711.PRESC.01/JAX