FNUS72 KMLB 110830
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC12...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
430 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE PENINSULA WILL REMAIN IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT
TODAY WITH BOTH 20 FOOT AND TRANSPORT WINDS VEERING MORE SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST. WHILE THE PREVAILING LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE SOUTHERLY
THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WHEN WINDS MAY BACK MORE SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TRIES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
VOLUSIA COAST. HOWEVER...NO PROLONGED WIND SHIFTS ARE EXPECTED
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA BY NOON...WITH
INCREASING ACTIVITY MOVING FROM THE WEST OVER THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............84  85  87  89  90  90  89  89  88  87  85  82
RH..............77  67  65  59  56  56  57  61  63  67  74  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............8.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...EMILY WEHR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130711.BC12_.01/MLB