FNUS75 KMSO 111516
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SALLY BASIN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
916 AM MDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0846 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT
MOVED ACROSS THE AREA LAST NIGHT.  A LITTLE COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TODAY AND COMBINE WITH SOME MODERATE WINDS ALOFT
MIXING TO THE SURFACE TO SUPPORT THE ADDITIONAL WIND.  THE ATMOSPHERE
SHOULD BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER, THE MAIN
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY EAST AND SOUTH OF
THIS FIRE...BUT CUMULUS BUILDUPS AND STORM CLOSE TO UNIT IS POSSIBLE
LATER TODAY.  THE COOLER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE AND A WARMER AND DRIER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE OR A
                    MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE
                    FIRE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 7-15
                    MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.  GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH...
                    BECOMING VARIABLE TO 5 MPH AFTER DARK.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...CHASE HARRISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130711.SALLY.01/MSO