FNUS75 KTWC 112302
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIPMAN...PHILBIN TYPE II TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
402 PM MST THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1544 MST ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

IN AN EFFORT TO PROVIDE THE BEST SERVICE WE CAN, IF TIME PERMITS
PLEASE USE THE FEEDBACK OPTION TO SEND BACK THE WEATHER THAT
OCCURRED DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD YOU REQUESTED. AN EXAMPLE, THE
HIGH TEMP, MIN RH AND WIND SPEED FOR THE DAY OR THE WEATHER THAT WAS
OCCURRING DURING YOUR PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...CURRENT/1600 LOCAL/ CONVECTION SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
FIRE AREA LOOKS TO BE DISSIPATING...SO CURRENT THINKING IS ONLY
LIGHT SHOWERS WITHOUT STRONG WESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW. ALSO...CURRENT
STORMS NOT PRODUCING RAINFALL SEEN LAST TWO NIGHTS OR THE INTENSITY.

TOMORROW...FOR THE MOST PART SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO REMAIN
EAST OF THE FIRE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THAT BEING SAID ANY
WESTERLY PROPAGATING OUTFLOW WILL LIKELY INITIATE CONVECTION AS
AREA REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE. STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT TOMORROW AS CLOUD BASES LOOK TO BE A BIT HIGHER THAN
PREVIOUS DAYS. OTHER THAN THE OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT NEAR THE FIRE AREA.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....96 TO 99 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 TO 27 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADOWS
REQUESTED BY...KELLY ALLEN FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130711.SHIPM.01/TWC

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