FNUS73 KUNR 120114
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYTON FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
714 PM MDT THU JUL 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1846 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOME SPRINKLES EARLY THIS EVENING...
AND POSSIBLY SOME ERRATIC WINDS...AS SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING...
BEFORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........94 AT REQUEST...MIN 66.
RH..................18 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 21 MPH AT REQUEST...SHIFTING
                    TO NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KP
REQUESTED BY...SELL  IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130711.KEYTO.01/UNR