FNUS75 KGJT 121458
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANCOS CANYON FIRE...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
858 AM MDT FRI JUL 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0832 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WET MONSOON FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE SITE
THROUGH TONIGHT. SKIES WILL BECOME CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1100 AND CONTINUING ON AND OFF
UNTIL ABOUT 10 PM THIS EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
x09x09    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
x09x09    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4900-52300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD (91400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
x09x09    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3900-50400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...YAZZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130712.MANCO.01/GJT