FNUS73 KGRR 121411
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HAPPY BLUE UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1011 AM EDT FRI JUL 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER TODAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS IT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WINDS
MUCH OF THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS WILL BE LIGHT. EXPECT AN EASTERLY
WIND THIS MORNING AT 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE INTO
THE MIDDAY HOURS. WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE WEST AS THE LAKE
BREEZE PUSHES INLAND THROUGH THE SPOT FORECAST LOCATION BETWEEN
200PM AND 400PM. WESTERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4600-5100
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........14     13     15     18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............75     78     81     81
RH..............53     43     37     39
20 FT WIND......SE 7   S 5    W 7    NW 9
20 FT GUST......
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 400-500
                    (GOOD TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SHERRETZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130712.HAPPY.01/GRR