FNUS75 KRIW 121627
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SENSEBAUGH...BLM WY-HPD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1027 AM MDT FRI JUL 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0816 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MID LOW TO LEVEL MOISTURE HAS OVERSPREAD THE DISTRICT TODAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WET
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS OR THUNDER
SHOULD BE IN THE CASPER MOUNTAIN AREA BY NOON OR VERY SOON AFTER.
ADDITIONALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER TODAY
BEHIND LAST NIGHT'S COLD FRONT. IT WILL BE WARMER AGAIN SATURDAY
WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. THERE WILL BE A
BETTER CHANCE OF STRONGER STORMS ON SUNDAY AS MOISTURE GETS
RE-ENFORCED FROM THE EAST...WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF MORE WETTING RAIN.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.33 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10100-55500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP
                    TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.47 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    14 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9300-58700 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.27 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-8400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (47500-96300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...EDDIE HUTTON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130712.SENSE.01/RIW