FNUS75 KBOU 131952 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HATCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 147 PM MDT SAT JUL 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1325 MDT ON JULY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION....A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST ARE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...RAIN COULD LINGER OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE WAKE OF A PUSH OF UPSLOPE FLOW SUNDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER WITH THE INFLUX OF MOISTURE. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THEN BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WILL OCCUR FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL GENERALLY CONFORM TO NORMAL AND LIGHT DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................35 PERCENT. LAL.................5. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........74%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................35 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................5 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........38%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 8-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4 UNTIL 1500...THEN 5. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 6700-7700 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 8-9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HATCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/13-13 49 58 35 81 32 NNW 2 2 2 5 SW 22 8722 WSW 2 22396 P 07/13-14 49 58 35 80 32 NNW 2 2 3 5 WSW 23 9302 SW 3 28996 P 07/13-15 81 58 35 79 34 NNW 2 2 3 5 WSW 24 9882 SW 5 35596 P 07/13-16 81 58 35 78 36 NNW 2 2 3 5 WSW 23 9647 SSW 3 31535 P 07/13-17 81 58 35 76 41 NNW 2 2 3 5 WSW 22 9413 S 3 27475 P 07/13-18 93 58 35 74 46 NNW 2 2 3 5 W 22 9179 S 3 23415 P 07/13-19 93 58 35 72 49 NNW 2 2 3 5 W 20 7279 SSE 3 18788 P 07/13-20 93 58 35 70 52 NNW 2 2 3 5 WSW 17 5379 SE 3 14161 P 07/13-21 93 58 35 68 55 NW 2 2 3 5 WSW 15 3480 ESE 3 9534 P 07/13-22 93 58 35 66 59 NW 2 2 3 5 W 14 2498 E 2 6577 P 07/13-23 93 58 35 65 62 W 3 3 3 5 W 13 1517 N 2 3620 P 07/14-00 59 10 2 64 65 W 3 3 3 2 W 12 536 CALM 663 P 07/14-01 59 10 2 64 64 W 3 3 3 2 W 12 540 CALM 806 P 07/14-02 59 10 2 63 64 WSW 5 5 3 2 W 10 544 NW 2 949 P 07/14-03 59 10 2 62 65 WSW 5 5 3 2 W 10 548 NW 2 1092 P 07/14-04 59 10 2 60 70 W 6 6 3 2 W 10 535 NW 3 1610 P 07/14-05 59 10 2 59 74 W 6 6 3 2 W 10 523 NW 5 2127 P 07/14-06 36 8 2 60 72 W 7 7 3 1 W 12 511 NNW 6 2645 P 07/14-07 36 8 2 63 65 WNW 7 7 3 1 W 9 1909 N 6 18020 P 07/14-08 36 8 2 68 55 NNW 7 7 2 1 WNW 6 3308 ENE 6 33395 P 07/14-09 57 0 0 73 46 N 7 7 2 1 NW 3 4706 E 6 48770 F 07/14-10 57 0 0 76 41 N 8 8 2 1 NW 5 6171 ENE 8 64923 G 07/14-11 57 0 0 78 39 NNE 8 8 2 1 NW 5 7637 NE 10 81077 G 07/14-12 72 36 14 79 38 NE 9 9 2 4 NW 6 9102 NNE 13 97230 G 07/14-13 72 36 14 78 40 NE 10 16 2 4 NW 7 8517 NNE 13 93308 G 07/14-14 72 36 14 77 44 NE 10 16 2 4 NNW 8 7931 NNE 14 89386 G 07/14-15 91 56 32 74 50 NE 10 16 2 5 NNW 9 7346 NNE 14 85464 G 07/14-16 91 56 32 72 53 NE 10 16 2 5 N 10 6760 NNE 14 81543 G 07/14-17 91 56 32 70 55 NNE 9 9 2 5 N 12 6175 NE 15 77621 G 07/14-18 89 64 44 69 57 NNE 8 8 2 5 N 13 5590 NE 15 73699 G 07/14-19 89 64 44 67 62 NNE 8 8 2 5 N 14 4790 NNE 14 61967 G 07/14-20 89 64 44 66 67 NNE 7 7 2 5 NNE 14 3990 NNE 12 50236 F 07/14-21 89 58 35 64 75 NNE 7 7 2 5 NNE 15 3190 N 10 38504 P 07/14-22 89 58 35 63 77 N 6 6 2 5 NNE 15 2390 N 8 26772 P 07/14-23 89 58 35 62 77 NW 6 6 2 5 NE 16 1590 NNW 7 15040 P 07/15-00 70 36 14 61 78 WNW 5 5 2 4 NE 16 791 NNW 5 3309 P 07/15-01 70 36 14 60 82 W 5 5 2 4 NE 16 703 NNW 5 2878 P 07/15-02 70 36 14 59 88 SSW 5 5 2 4 NE 16 615 N 5 2447 P 07/15-03 70 10 2 57 96 S 5 5 2 2 NE 16 527 NE 3 2016 P 07/15-04 70 10 2 56 98 S 5 5 2 2 NE 15 440 ENE 3 1585 P 07/15-05 70 10 2 55 99 SSE 3 3 2 2 NNE 15 352 E 3 1154 P 07/15-06 62 28 8 56 93 SE 3 3 2 2 NNE 15 264 ESE 3 724 P 07/15-07 62 28 8 58 86 SSE 3 3 2 2 NNE 14 982 ESE 5 8929 P 07/15-08 62 28 8 62 75 SSE 3 3 2 2 NNE 14 1700 ESE 6 17134 P 07/15-09 61 9 2 66 65 S 5 5 2 1 NNE 14 2418 SE 8 25339 P 07/15-10 61 9 2 69 58 SSE 6 6 2 1 NNE 13 3136 SE 9 33544 P 07/15-11 61 9 2 71 52 SE 8 8 2 1 NNE 13 3854 SE 12 41749 F 07/15-12 59 10 2 72 49 SE 9 15 2 2 NNE 12 4572 SE 13 49954 F 07/15-13 59 10 2 72 49 SE 10 16 2 2 NNE 13 4696 SE 12 48368 F 07/15-14 59 10 2 72 48 SE 12 17 2 2 NNE 14 4819 SE 12 46782 F 07/15-15 59 10 2 71 49 SE 12 18 2 2 NNE 15 4942 SSE 10 45196 F 07/15-16 59 10 2 70 50 SE 12 18 2 2 NNE 16 5066 SSE 10 43610 F 07/15-17 59 10 2 69 51 SE 10 17 2 2 NNE 17 5189 SSE 9 42024 F 07/15-18 36 2 0 67 54 SE 10 16 2 1 NNE 18 5312 SSE 9 40438 F 07/15-19 36 2 0 66 56 SSE 10 16 2 1 NE 17 4524 SSE 9 34766 P 07/15-20 36 2 0 64 59 SSE 10 16 2 1 NE 17 3735 S 10 29095 P 07/15-21 36 2 0 62 62 S 10 16 2 1 NE 17 2946 S 10 23423 P 07/15-22 36 2 0 60 66 S 10 16 2 1 NE 16 2157 S 12 17752 P 07/15-23 36 2 0 59 68 S 9 15 2 1 ENE 16 1369 S 12 12080 P 07/16-00 26 8 2 57 72 S 9 15 2 1 ENE 15 580 S 13 6409 P 07/16-01 26 8 2 57 71 S 9 15 2 1 ENE 14 534 S 10 5392 P 07/16-02 26 8 2 56 73 SSW 10 16 2 1 ENE 13 489 S 8 4375 P 07/16-03 26 8 2 54 77 SSW 10 16 3 1 ENE 12 443 S 7 3357 P 07/16-04 26 8 2 52 82 SSW 10 16 3 1 E 10 397 S 5 2340 P 07/16-05 26 8 2 51 83 SSW 10 16 3 1 E 9 352 S 2 1323 P 07/16-06 16 0 0 52 80 SSW 9 15 3 1 E 8 306 CALM 306 P 07/16-07 16 0 0 55 72 SSW 8 13 3 1 E 8 1403 CALM 5146 P 07/16-08 16 0 0 60 61 S 7 7 3 1 ENE 8 2500 CALM 9986 P 07/16-09 16 0 0 65 52 S 6 6 3 1 ENE 8 3598 S 2 14825 P 07/16-10 16 0 0 68 48 S 6 6 2 1 ENE 9 4695 S 3 19665 P 07/16-11 16 0 0 71 44 SSE 6 6 2 1 NE 9 5792 S 5 24505 P 07/16-12 45 0 0 72 43 SE 6 6 2 1 NE 9 6890 S 5 29345 P 07/16-13 45 0 0 73 41 SE 7 7 2 1 NE 10 6719 S 6 33921 P 07/16-14 45 0 0 74 40 SSE 7 7 2 1 NE 10 6548 S 7 38496 P 07/16-15 45 0 0 74 40 SSE 8 13 2 1 NNE 12 6377 S 8 43072 F 07/16-16 45 0 0 74 40 SSE 9 14 2 1 NNE 13 6206 S 9 47648 F 07/16-17 45 0 0 73 41 SSE 9 15 2 1 N 13 6035 S 10 52223 F 07/16-18 41 0 0 71 44 SSE 9 15 2 1 N 14 5864 S 12 56799 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130713.HATCH.01/BOU