FNUS75 KPUB 140323
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIPELINE COMPLEX...STATE OF COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
923 PM MDT SAT JUL 13 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH
0100.  LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT.  WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH A DOWNSLOPE
COMPONENT BY MORNING.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION BY SUNDAY
MORNING WITH WINDS TURNING NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY.  THIS WILL PULL
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS REMAINING MORE
ELEVATED.  A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BY THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING
TO EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH WIDESPREAD COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  ERRATIC OUTFLOW
                    WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH 0100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN LESS THAN 500
                    FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY 1200...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH TURNING NORTH
                    NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH BY 0800.  WINDS WILL SHIFT
                    MORE NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE 10 TO 15 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.  ERRATIC AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
                    WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 7000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 5.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...CLAY STEWARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130713.PIPEL.01/PUB