FNUS75 KGJT 150143
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILK CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
743 PM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1805 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY...BUT THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AS AN
ATYPICAL UPPER LOW TRACKING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
DISRUPTS THE MONSOONAL FLOW. EXPECT THE TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN TO
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH SLOW STORM MOVEMENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL 2300...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-7 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-4 MPH BY 2300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
AFTER 2400.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130714.MILKC.01/GJT