FNUS74 KLZK 141145 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLMES LAND EXCHANGE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 645 AM CDT SUN JUL 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JULY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS THE DAY WEARS ON...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST TODAY AND DO NOT EXPECT THERE WILL BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF WIND GUSTS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH DEWPOINTS HOLDING FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH THE DAY. AS SUCH AFTERNOON RH VALUES SHOULD BE A TAD HIGHER THAN WHAT WAS OBSERVED YESTERDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS IN THE PROCESS OF SHIFTING WEST FROM SRN MISSOURI TO OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. AS THIS FEATURE SHIFTS INTO OKLAHOMA LATER TODAY...THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS SPROUT UP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE STATE. EXPECT THE COVERAGE OF ANY CONVECTION TODAY TO BE FAIRLY ISOLD AND LIKELY WILL NOT AFFECT THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER...THERE IS A CHANCE IT COULD SO THE SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE FORECAST BELOW IS NOT UNREASONABLE. OVERNIGHT...GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AS HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT MOVES BACK INTO THE STATE. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE NEAR CALM...BUT IF ANY DIRECTION IS READILY DETECTABLE YOU WILL LIKELY NOTE A LIGHT EASTERLY DRIFT AT THE BURN SITE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH BY THE LATE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6824 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 85 85 85 85 RH..............47 44 43 43 43 44 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 5 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 9 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2819 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 82 79 76 74 72 71 70 69 69 68 68 RH..............46 48 54 61 66 70 74 78 81 84 87 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 14 13 12 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6300 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5366 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............67 68 71 75 79 81 83 85 86 87 87 86 RH..............92 92 83 73 65 60 56 54 53 52 52 54 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...R L SELF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130714.HOLME.01/LZK