FNUS75 KGJT 151840
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILK CREEK...GRAND JUNCTION DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1240 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1209 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MARGINAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE OVER THE REGION.
STORM MOTION IS VERY SLOW WITH STORMS SHOWING LITTLE MOVEMENT. THE
FIRST STORMS OF THE DAY HAVE FORMED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN THAT WILL
THEN FORM OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL BE STORM DOMINATED.

.THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS FORMING FIRST OVER THE MOUNTAINS
                    THEN DEVELOPING OVER VALLEYS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS FROM NEARBY SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EVENING WINDS.
                    THEN BECOMING DOWNVALLEY/EAST 1-5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...EXCEPT 15000 FT NEAR STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130715.MILKC.01/GJT