FNUS75 KMSO 161056
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROUGH CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
456 AM MDT TUE JUL 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2158 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN EXIST
ACROSS THE FIRE, DESPITE THE INCREASING PRESENCE OF CLOUDS AND
MOISTURE THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AFTER
1 OR 2PM AND BECOME NUMEROUS BY TONIGHT. A WETTING RAIN DOES SEEM
LIKELY GIVEN THE HIGHLY ANOMALOUS AMOUNTS OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
MOVING OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO TOMORROW. GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS
ARE ALSO TO BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY (TUESDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-104.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE 6-12 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT (TUESDAY NIGHT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130715.ROUGH.02/MSO