FNUS75 KMSO 152259
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST MULLAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
459 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1605 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EASTERLY WINDS ARE PLANNED TO MOVE NEAR THE FIRE ON
TUESDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ARE A TOUGH CALL SINCE THE DEPTH OF
THE COOL AIR IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN WHEN IT MOVES NEAR THE FIRE.
AT THIS TIME THE TOP OF THE FIRE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE LIGHT EAST
WINDS AROUND 0600 MDT. WINDS NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE FIRE WILL ALSO
DEVELOP WITH THE DIRECTION MORE LIKELY TO BE SOUTHEAST. THESE
WINDS MIX OUT THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION VERY QUICKLY THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING WITH WINDS TO LINGER THROUGH THE DAY. THERE WILL
ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES UP AND
HUMIDITIES LOW EVEN TUESDAY NIGHT, SO RECOVERIES MAY BE POOR, BUT
THERE IS AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR RAIN THAT MAY HELP.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...49-54.
                    TOP...57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...60-65 PERCENT.
                    TOP...30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                      BECOMING VARIABLE 1-3 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
                    TOP...SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                      BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BOTTOM...100 FT AGL.
                    TOP...1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...92-97.
                    TOP...89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...13-18 PERCENT.
                    TOP...20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                      IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP...EAST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...52-57.
                    TOP...58-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...60-65 PERCENT.
                    TOP...35-40 PERCENT
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.


$$
FORECASTER...KITSMILLER
REQUESTED BY...BRAD GILLESPIE  FS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130715.WESTM.02/MSO