FNUS72 KJAX 161643
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EXPERIMENTAL FOREST...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1243 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1255 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN EASTERLY FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY PROVIDING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY MAINLY DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST AREA.
OBSERVATIONS SO FAR TODAY SHOW WINDS OVER INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA
EAST AT ABOUT 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 15-20 MPH AT TIMES. LOWEST
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50% TODAY AND NEAR 50% ON
WEDNESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS
NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...PATCHY FOG FORMATION IS POSSIBLE
EACH MORNING WHERE RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     51     45
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............84     89     88
RH..............72     62     62
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 13   E 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   3200   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 18   E 18   E 18
LVORI...........2      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.56     60     59
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30
LAL.............2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 2 TO
                    7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........39     32     26     28     38     24
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     81     77     76     74     73
RH..............65     75     86     92     96     100
20 FT WIND......E 13   E 10   E 7    E 3    NE 3   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1600   900    500    300    100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 15   E 12   E 7    NE 3   NE 2
LVORI...........1      4      5      6      8      9
DISPERSION INDX.50     11     6      4      3      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     10     10     0      0
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND TSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 35.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130716.EXPER.01/JAX