FNUS72 KMHX 161226
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOCR CAMPGROUND...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
826 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. THIS WILL SPARK SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS NORTHEAST NC EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL MOVE
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE DAY. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY AFFECT THE
BURN AREA AND PRODUCE GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE
AREA LATER IN THE AFTERNOON WITH DRYING TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............36     47     51     54
WEATHER COV.........       SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............       SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
TEMP................87     90     90     90
RH..................65     58     55     57
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 5    NW 4   N 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5
LVORI...............3      2      2      2
ADI.................24     21     14     16
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...LONKA
REQUESTED BY...JOE HAWLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130716.GOCRC.01/MHX