FNUS73 KMQT 161308 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DAY 2 M2 TO T2...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 908 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 EDT ON JULY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. EXPECT VERY SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARY WHICH WILL BE AROUND SENEY. BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTLES OVER THE AREA. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL DROP OUT OF CANADA ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN BY SATURDAY. EXPECT MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS CLOSER TO LAKE SUPERIOR. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81 AT IGNITION...MAX 87. MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (310) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (454) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (770) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3200-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900-2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........46 44 42 42 43 44 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP............78 84 87 87 85 81 RH..............73 65 59 59 64 70 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 7 S 7 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 GENERAL GUST....9 14 14 16 16 16 VINDX KT-FT/100.165 454 657 761 616 386 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 SW 14 SW 15 SW 18 SW 22 SW 23 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3800 5100 4800 3200 1900 LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 1 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 TO 31 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........44 36 29 21 25 28 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 73 69 68 68 69 RH..............76 89 99 100 100 100 GENERAL WIND....SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 GENERAL GUST....14 14 10 8 8 8 VINDX KT-FT/100.287 108 37 58 55 0 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 W 25 W 26 W 26 W 25 W 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 500 200 300 300 BLW100 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130716.DAY2M.01/MQT