FNUS76 KOTX 161523
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCENDO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
823 AM PDT TUE JUL 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0755 PDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE ALL FIRE WEATHER
ZONES LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...

BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE PRESENT TODAY OVER THE BURN SITE.
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PUMP MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. A DISTURBANCE TRACKING NORTH WILL DELIVER AN ABUNDANT
LIGHTNING EVENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
DISTRICT. THIS LIGHTNING WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS AS WELL LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. THE THREAT OF
THUNDER WILL WANE DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT COULD REDEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE THE MAIN THUNDER THREAT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WARMER AND DRIER PATTERN RETURNS TO THE
REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 88...TOP 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
                    SMALL HAIL IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
                    RIDGETOP...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    NEAR SURFACE IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87 BOTTOM...81 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP...SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...EK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NORTH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130716.CRESC.01/OTX