FNUS75 KRIW 161742
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SENSEBAUGH...BLM WY-HPD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1142 AM MDT TUE JUL 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1036 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY EASTERLY FLOW TODAY WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS AWAY TODAY AND
PRODUCE ONLY PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST SURFACE
WINDS. IT WILL CONTINUE WARM WITH MINIMUM RH'S IN THE 20S. WEDNESDAY
WILL BE WARMER WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS AS MOISTURE TRIES TO EDGE UP FROM THE SOUTH INTO
SOUTHEAST NATRONA COUNTY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) MOST OF THE DAY
                    WITH JUST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SMALL CUMULUS BUILDUPS
                    POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING
                    PRODUCING A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5300-6300 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (80000-90000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-86 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000L THEN GRADUALLY BECOMING POOR
                    (16100-63500 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. (20000-65000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYELS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130716.SENSE.01/RIW