FNUS72 KJAX 172039
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 73 ZAY PRAIRIE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
439 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 EDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS NORTH OF THE AREA...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL SHIFT FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A PREVAILING OFFSHORE FLOW AND INCREASING
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT FOR
OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS ALONG THE COAST.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR
SECTIONS. DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING 44 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     50     60     64     68
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............72     71     80     88     89     89
RH..............99     100    78     59     54     54
20 FT WIND......E 2    NE 3   E 5    E 6    E 7    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....100    100    1400   3000   3600   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 2    NE 3   E 8    E 12   E 13   E 12
LVORI...........9      9      4      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.3      4      16     38     45     32
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     30     30     40
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130717.COMP7.01/JAX