FNUS72 KMHX 171238 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR C-16...CAMP LEJEUNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 838 AM EDT WED JUL 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JULY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY...THEN DISSIPATE TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG INTERSECTION OF TROUGH AND SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND LOW PRESSURE TROUGH INLAND WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTH AT 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............51 53 55 54 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................83 87 89 88 RH..................73 65 60 61 20 FT WIND..........N 2 N 3 NE 3 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 3 2 3 ADI.................4 36 26 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............54 54 46 36 28 32 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................86 82 79 77 76 75 RH..................68 77 86 91 94 98 20 FT WIND..........SE 4 S 3 S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 LVORI...............3 4 5 7 7 10 ADI.................9 4 5 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 40 41 42 43 42 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................74 78 84 88 90 89 RH..................99 88 72 61 58 61 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 3 SW 5 SW 5 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 15 LVORI...............10 6 3 3 3 2 ADI.................1 2 2 6 5 29 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...BARRETT BAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130717.C16__.01/MHX