FNUS72 KMHX 171257
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOCR CAMPGROUND...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
857 AM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. SCATTERED
TSTMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH INTERSECTION OF TROUGH AND SEA
BREEZE/SOUND BREEZE.

NOTE: TRANSPORT WIND WILL BE DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON. USED AVERAGE OF 8 MPH
WITH MAX MIXING HT OF 6500 FT TO COME UP WITH VENT RATE OF 52000.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH AROUND NOON...BECOMING EAST
                    AT 6 MPH AROUND 4 PM.
VENT RATE...........52000

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............40     45     46
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP................88     89     88
RH..................60     57     58
20 FT WIND..........N 4    NE 5   E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
LVORI...............1      1      2
ADI.................45     38     27
HAINES INDEX........3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...JOE HAWLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130717.GOCRC.01/MHX