FNUS75 KABQ 181920
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUPITA...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
120 PM MDT THU JUL 18 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
EASTERLY FLOW ON NORTH SIDE OF UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LOW OVER
NEW MEXICO BOOTHEEL CONTINUES TO KEEP A RATHER COOL AND STABLE
AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON...PRODUCING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE PLATEAUS NORTHWEST OF THE JEMEZ MOUNTAINS.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE CONSIDERABLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE AND SURFACE HEATING/INSTABILITY
INCREASES.


FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-81.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 31-36 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......EAST 5 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......POOR/22681 KNOT-FT AT 1100 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/22681 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING POOR/19500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......25 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-57.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 71-76 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 39-44 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 9 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/54000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/39241 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/40296 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...33

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC STEWART
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130718.LUPIT.01/ABQ