FNUS75 KBOU 191618 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKY SLOPE...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1012 AM MDT FRI JUL 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1005 MDT ON JULY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION TODAY. THE COVERAGE WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ESPECIALLY AFTER 1200. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...UP TO ONE INCH IN 30 MINUTES. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........69%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 2000-2200...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1100. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROCKY SLOPE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/19-10 65 24 11 55 69 SE 13 18 2 2 W 7 5269 E 8 35136 P 07/19-11 65 24 11 55 71 SE 12 18 2 2 W 6 5365 ESE 7 34496 P 07/19-12 83 60 38 55 72 SE 12 17 2 5 W 3 5460 ESE 7 33856 P 07/19-13 87 60 38 55 71 SE 12 17 2 5 W 5 5713 ESE 7 37041 P 07/19-14 87 60 38 55 70 SE 12 17 2 5 W 5 5967 SE 8 40226 F 07/19-15 87 60 38 54 72 SE 12 17 2 5 W 6 6220 SE 8 43411 F 07/19-16 87 60 38 54 72 SE 12 17 2 5 WNW 6 5982 SE 8 42035 F 07/19-17 87 60 38 53 74 SSE 13 18 2 5 NW 6 5745 S 8 40658 F 07/19-18 87 53 28 52 77 SSE 13 20 2 4 NNW 6 5507 S 8 39282 P 07/19-19 87 53 28 51 78 SSE 13 20 2 4 NNW 7 4605 S 7 30051 P 07/19-20 87 53 28 50 79 S 13 20 2 4 NNW 7 3703 S 6 20820 P 07/19-21 82 53 28 49 80 S 13 20 2 4 NNW 8 2802 SSW 5 11589 P 07/19-22 71 34 13 48 80 S 13 18 2 4 N 8 2022 S 6 8812 P 07/19-23 59 34 13 47 81 S 12 18 2 4 N 8 1242 S 7 6034 P 07/20-00 54 7 1 46 83 S 12 17 2 1 N 8 463 S 8 3257 P 07/20-01 54 7 1 46 81 S 10 16 2 1 N 7 407 SSW 8 2883 P 07/20-02 54 7 1 46 80 SSW 10 15 2 1 NNW 6 351 SW 8 2510 P 07/20-03 46 4 1 45 83 SW 9 14 2 1 NW 6 295 WSW 8 2137 P 07/20-04 46 4 1 44 84 WSW 9 9 2 1 NW 7 256 WSW 9 1990 P 07/20-05 46 4 1 44 83 W 8 8 2 1 NW 9 218 W 10 1843 P 07/20-06 45 7 1 45 79 WNW 8 8 2 1 WNW 10 179 WNW 10 1697 P 07/20-07 45 7 1 48 71 WNW 8 8 2 1 WNW 10 1784 WNW 12 21332 P 07/20-08 45 7 1 53 60 WNW 8 8 3 1 WNW 12 3389 NW 13 40967 F 07/20-09 45 17 3 57 53 WNW 8 8 3 3 WNW 12 4994 NNW 14 60603 G 07/20-10 45 17 3 60 46 NW 8 8 4 3 WNW 12 7010 NNW 13 75502 G 07/20-11 45 17 3 60 44 NNW 7 7 4 3 WNW 12 9025 NNW 12 90402 G 07/20-12 71 38 16 61 41 N 7 7 5 4 WNW 10 11040 NNW 12105301 V 07/20-13 71 38 16 61 40 N 7 7 5 4 WNW 12 11487 NNW 10102666 V 07/20-14 71 38 16 61 40 N 8 13 5 4 WNW 12 11933 NNW 9100031 V 07/20-15 71 38 16 61 39 N 8 13 5 4 WNW 12 12379 NW 9 97395 G 07/20-16 71 38 16 60 40 N 7 7 5 4 WNW 14 11672 NW 8 85552 G 07/20-17 71 38 16 59 41 N 6 6 5 4 NW 16 10965 NW 8 73708 G 07/20-18 68 36 14 57 43 N 5 5 5 4 NW 17 10258 NW 7 61865 G 07/20-19 68 36 14 56 45 NNE 3 3 5 4 NW 18 8816 NW 7 52279 F 07/20-20 68 36 14 54 50 NE 2 2 5 4 NW 20 7374 NW 7 42693 F 07/20-21 68 36 14 52 54 ENE 2 2 4 4 NW 21 5933 NW 7 33107 P 07/20-22 68 36 14 51 58 E 2 2 4 4 NW 22 4114 WNW 6 22887 P 07/20-23 68 36 14 50 61 S 3 3 4 4 NW 22 2295 W 6 12667 P 07/21-00 45 7 1 50 61 SW 5 5 4 1 NW 23 476 W 6 2446 P 07/21-01 45 7 1 49 61 SW 6 6 4 1 NW 24 409 W 7 2331 P 07/21-02 45 7 1 49 57 WSW 6 6 4 1 NW 25 341 W 8 2216 P 07/21-03 45 7 1 48 56 WSW 7 7 4 1 NW 25 274 W 9 2100 P 07/21-04 45 7 1 47 56 W 7 7 4 1 NW 25 253 W 10 2135 P 07/21-05 45 7 1 46 56 W 8 8 4 1 NW 24 231 W 12 2170 P 07/21-06 18 7 1 47 54 WNW 8 13 4 1 NW 24 210 W 13 2205 P 07/21-07 18 7 1 51 47 WNW 9 14 4 1 WNW 23 2636 WNW 17 65015 G 07/21-08 18 7 1 56 40 WNW 10 16 4 1 WNW 23 5062 WNW 23127825 V 07/21-09 18 7 1 61 33 WNW 10 16 4 1 WNW 23 7488 WNW 29190635 E 07/21-10 18 7 1 63 29 WNW 10 16 5 1 WNW 23 7987 WNW 29202489 E 07/21-11 18 7 1 65 25 WNW 9 15 5 1 WNW 23 8487 WNW 29214343 E 07/21-12 30 17 3 65 24 WNW 9 15 5 3 W 23 8986 WNW 29226197 E 07/21-13 30 17 3 66 23 WNW 10 16 6 3 W 23 9357 WNW 28220649 E 07/21-14 30 17 3 66 24 WNW 10 17 6 3 W 24 9727 WNW 25215101 E 07/21-15 30 17 3 66 24 WNW 12 18 6 3 W 24 10098 WNW 24209552 E 07/21-16 30 17 3 66 23 NW 12 18 6 3 W 25 9812 WNW 22191936 E 07/21-17 30 17 3 65 22 NW 10 17 6 3 WNW 25 9526 NW 21174319 E 07/21-18 47 10 2 63 22 NW 10 16 5 2 WNW 26 9240 NW 20156702 E 07/21-19 47 10 2 61 25 NW 10 16 5 2 WNW 25 6417 WNW 17107318 V 07/21-20 47 10 2 59 29 NW 10 17 5 2 WNW 24 3595 WNW 15 57934 F 07/21-21 47 10 2 56 34 NW 10 16 5 2 WNW 23 772 WNW 13 8550 P 07/21-22 47 10 2 54 37 NW 9 15 5 2 WNW 23 636 WNW 13 6918 P 07/21-23 47 10 2 53 37 WNW 9 14 5 2 WNW 22 501 WNW 12 5285 P 07/22-00 32 3 1 52 38 W 8 13 5 1 WNW 22 365 WNW 12 3652 P 07/22-01 32 3 1 52 37 W 8 13 5 1 WNW 23 300 WNW 12 2984 P 07/22-02 32 3 1 52 37 W 8 13 5 1 WNW 23 236 WNW 12 2317 P 07/22-03 32 3 1 51 38 W 8 13 5 1 WNW 24 172 WNW 12 1649 P 07/22-04 32 3 1 49 39 W 9 14 5 1 WNW 24 177 WNW 12 1731 P 07/22-05 32 3 1 48 40 W 9 15 5 1 WNW 23 181 WNW 12 1813 P 07/22-06 21 6 1 49 37 W 10 16 5 1 WNW 23 186 W 12 1894 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...COOPER REQUESTED BY...JANE THOMAS TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130719.ROCKY.01/BOU