FNUS75 KGJT 230355
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CITADEL...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
955 PM MDT MON JUL 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2120 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHWEST COLORADO OVERNIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. MINIMAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
IN THERMAL BELTS...WILL LEAD TO SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AS HIGHS ONCE AGAIN PUSH IN THE MID 90S. WINDS DID NOT
TURN UPVALLEY ACCORDING TO OBSERVATIONS SO KEPT THEM FROM THE NORTH
AGAIN FOR TUESDAY AT THE VALLEY BOTTOMS. HOWEVER LOCALIZED UPSLOPE
IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO FIRE. GENERAL WINDS...THEREFOR
RIDGETOP WINDS...LOOK TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BUT AFTERNOON BUILD UPS LOOK POSSIBLE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE FIRE. MOISTURE MOVES IN
TOMORROW NIGHT AND SHOULD HELP IN RECOVERY OF HUMIDITY LEVELS
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30 TO 35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY OR NORTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT
                    IN VALLEY BOTTOM WITH POSSIBLE THERMAL BELT
                    ON MID SLOPES.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) WITH BUILD UPS TO THE SOUTH
                    OVER THE HIGHER PLATEAUS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93 TO 96 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN VALLEY BOTTOM
                    THROUGH THE DAY. RIDGETOP WINDS NORTH AT
                    AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH 1100 THEN NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 15 MPH POSSIBLE
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 12800 FT BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130722.CITAD.02/GJT